# SimpleFunctions — Probability Index
1782 topics tracked across prediction markets. Updated every 15 minutes.

## Highest Probability
- 97% — Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 81,000 jobs → /answer/waaeroemp
- 97% — Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2036 be above 58.50% → /answer/lfprateeoy
- 97% — Will Washington statewide seasonally adjusted employment in Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services for December 2026 be above 265,000 jobs → /answer/watechemp
- 97% — Will U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 be above 25.6% → /answer/usgdpshare
- 97% — CPI month-over-month in Apr 2026 → /answer/econstatcpi
- 97% — Will Pitbull release a new album before Sep 1, 2026 → /answer/albumreleasedate-newpit
- 97% — Will any team win at least 6 consecutive games in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season → /answer/nflwinstreak
- 97% — Will the price of Creed Aventus be above $300 in 2026 → /answer/creed
- 97% — Will Wisconsin's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 180 bu/acre → /answer/wicornyield
- 97% — Will Juan Soto win NL MVP → /answer/mlbnlmvp

## Topic Groups
These aggregate multiple related questions into one answer:
- /answer/bitcoin (18 questions)
- /answer/election-2026 (236 questions)
- /answer/ai-tech (24 questions)
- /answer/trump (44 questions)
- /answer/recession (26 questions)
- /answer/fed-rate (18 questions)
- /answer/china (9 questions)
- /answer/oil (17 questions)
- /answer/iran (16 questions)
- /answer/ukraine (11 questions)
- /answer/nba (1 questions)

## Economy & Finance (58)
- 97% — Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 81,000 jobs → /answer/waaeroemp
- 97% — Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2036 be above 58.50% → /answer/lfprateeoy
- 97% — Will Washington statewide seasonally adjusted employment in Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services for December 2026 be above 265,000 jobs → /answer/watechemp
- 97% — Will U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 be above 25.6% → /answer/usgdpshare
- 97% — CPI month-over-month in Apr 2026 → /answer/econstatcpi
- 96% — Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.00% following the Fed's Jan 27, 2027 meeting → /answer/fed
- 96% — Will the Fed cut rates in June 2026? → /answer/fed-rate-cut-june-2026
- 96% — Will Wisconsin's annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 452,500 jobs → /answer/wimfgemp
- 95% — Will the Fed cut rates 2 times at emergency meetings → /answer/emercuts
- 95% — Will the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U in December 2036 be above 2.5% → /answer/uscpiyear
- 95% — Will the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q1 2026 be above 12.5% → /answer/efftariff
- 95% — Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2035 be above 5.75% → /answer/fedfundsyear
- 94% — Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2036 be above 7.5% → /answer/u3eoy
- 93% — Will monday.com Ltd. report Above 113% net dollar retention rate for the >$100k arr cohort in Q3 2026 → /answer/mndy
- 93% — Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.0% in April → /answer/u3
- 92% — Will Pennsylvania’s annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 550,000 jobs → /answer/pamfgemp
- 92% — Will the Fed cut rates 1 times → /answer/ratecutcount
- 92% — Will the rate of core PCE inflation be above 0.0% in September 2026 → /answer/pcecore
- 90% — Will Bank of Canada rate cuts in 2026 be exactly 0ㅤ → /answer/cancuts
- 90% — Size of Fed balance sheet on Dec 30, 2026 → /answer/balancesheet
- 88% — Japan unemployment rate in Mar 2026 → /answer/ue
- 88% — Will **real GDP** increase by more than 4.0% in Q1 2026 → /answer/gdp
- 83% — Will monday.com Ltd. report Above 111% net dollar retention rate for the >$100k arr cohort in fiscal 2026 → /answer/mndya
- 80% — Will the tariff rate on India imports be at least 20% on Jan 1, 2027 → /answer/tariffrateindia
- 80% — How high will unemployment get before 2030 → /answer/u3max
- 77% — How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year → /answer/mortgagerate
- 76% — Will the tariff rate on Brazil imports be at least 20% on Jan 1, 2027 → /answer/tariffratebr
- 76% — Will the tariff rate on Mexico imports be at least 10% on Jan 1, 2027 → /answer/tariffratemex
- 75% — Will the rate of core CPI inflation be above 3.0% for the year ending in May 2026 → /answer/cpicoreyoy
- 75% — Will CPI rise more than 0.4% in September 2026 → /answer/cpi
- ... and 28 more

## Politics & Elections (225)
- 97% — Will the margin of victory for Mike Mazzei in the 2026 Oklahoma Republican Governor runoff be at least 6% → /answer/primarymovd
- 97% — Will Alternative for Germany (AfD) win at least 36 seats in the 2026 Saxony-Anhalt Landtag election → /answer/afdsachsen
- 96% — Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for the runoff in the 2026 Brazilian presidential election → /answer/brpresadvance
- 93% — Will Josh Fryday win the 2026 California Lieutenant Governor election → /answer/calieutenantgov
- 93% — Will Tom Steyer receive between 20% and 24% of the popular vote in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary → /answer/voteprimary
- 92% — Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 be at least 10 at the November 3, 2026 general election → /answer/trumpdemdistricts
- 92% — Will RFK Jr. be confirmed as HHS Secretary? → /answer/rfk-hhs
- 91% — Will anyone win the 2026 Georgia Commissioner of Insurance general election election in the first round → /answer/ga1round
- 90% — Will the Democratic party hold more than 250 House seats in the 120th Congress → /answer/dhouseseatsdir
- 89% — Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that New Hampshire holds the earliest 2028 Democratic presidential contest administered by its election officials or the Democratic Party among the 50 states before Apr 1, 2028 → /answer/demfirstcontest
- 89% — Will Minnesota Governor winner be Democratic party and Minnesota Senate winner be Republican party → /answer/mnsengovcombo
- 89% — Will Leonard Krog win the 2026 Nanaimo mayoral election → /answer/nanaimomayor
- 86% — Will Together win above 10 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election → /answer/togethercount
- 86% — Will Coalition avenir Québec win at least 12 seats in the 2026 Quebec general election → /answer/qccaqseats
- 86% — Who will win the 2026 U.S. Virgin Islands gubernatorial election → /answer/usvigov
- 85% — Will the total vote count for all participants in Wisconsin Governor General Election be above 3000000 → /answer/midtermvoteturn
- 85% — Who will win the 2026 Bexar County Criminal District Attorney general election → /answer/bexarda
- 85% — Will exactly 0 Senate Democrats lose re-election in 2026 → /answer/losereelectiondsen
- 84% — Will it be reported by the U.S. House of Representatives that the U.S. House of Representatives adjourns from substantive floor business for its pre-election 2026 recess before Oct 2, 2026 → /answer/houseadjourn-26
- 83% — Who will win the next Mexican Chamber of deputies election → /answer/mexicodeputies
- 82% — Who will win the 2026 Providence, RI mayoral election → /answer/providencemayor
- 82% — Who will win Alaska U.S. House of Representatives election → /answer/alaskahouse
- 79% — Who will win the next Spanish general election → /answer/spainparli
- 79% — Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Mississippi be at least 23 percentage points → /answer/midtermmov
- 78% — Will the Democratic party hold exactly 54 Senate seats in the 120th Congress → /answer/dsenateseatsh
- 78% — Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Republican National Committee in Republican National Committee v. Mi Familia Vota → /answer/scotuscase
- 76% — Who will win the election for Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives at the opening of the 120th Congress → /answer/speaker120
- 74% — Who will win the next Dominican Republic Senate election → /answer/dominicanrepublicsenate
- 73% — Who will win the next Nigerian presidential election → /answer/presnigeria
- 71% — Who will win the next Georgian parliamentary election → /answer/georgiaparli
- ... and 195 more

## Geopolitics & Conflict (28)
- 54% — Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the United States and China reach a new mutual tariff agreement, publicly announced or confirmed by both governments before Sep 1, 2026 → /answer/tariffagree-27
- 53% — Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30 → /answer/which-countries-send-warships-through-strait-of-hormuz
- 52% — Will China’s strategic oil inventories for Q3 2026 be above 1,400 million barrels → /answer/chinaoilinv
- 51% — Will China obtains or develops a functional extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machine that capable of patterning semiconductor wafers in a fabrication facility be confirmed before Jan 1, 2027 → /answer/chinaeuv-30
- 49% — Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 40 after July 6, 2025 and before Jan 1, 2027 → /answer/hormuzavg
- 47% — Will the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be at least 60 in June 2026 → /answer/maxshipshormuz
- 47% — Will The End of Oak Street have the highest Rotten Tomatoes score among The Brink of War and The End of Oak Street on Aug 17, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET → /answer/rtcompare
- 45% — Will U.S. imports of goods from China for 2026 be below $300 billion → /answer/cnimport
- 40% — Will another country conduct military action against Iran by... → /answer/another-country-conduct-military-action-against-iran
- 40% — Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?: 20+ → /answer/ships-transit-strait-of-hormuz-any-day-april
- 38% — Will the U.S. State Department issue a Level 4 warning for Taiwan before Jan 1, 2028 → /answer/taiwanlvl4
- 32% — How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?: 6–7 → /answer/how-many-ships-iran-successfully-target-april-30
- 32% — Will North Korea conduct a nuclear test? → /answer/north-korea-nuclear
- 30% — Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ... → /answer/trump-announces-military-operations-against-iran
- 29% — US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30 → /answer/usiran-nuclear-deal-april-30
- 29% — Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in Russia → /answer/putinzelenskyylocation
- 27% — Will a Russia sanctions bill receive above 300 Yea votes in the House → /answer/houserussiasanction
- 20% — Will China invade Taiwan? → /answer/china-taiwan
- 19% — Will there be a US-Iran peace deal? → /answer/iran-peace-deal
- 17% — Will the U.S. Department of the Treasury or the Financial Crimes Enforcement Network announce sanctions on a Chinese bank, meaning the addition of an institution licensed as a bank by China's National Financial Regulatory Administration or by the Hong Kong Monetary Authority to the Specially Designated Nationals and Blocked Persons List or to the Correspondent Account or Payable-Through Account Sanctions List, or a final rule imposing a special measure on such an institution under Section 311 of → /answer/chinabanksanc-26aug
- 15% — Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan before Jan 1, 2027 → /answer/trumpcountries
- 13% — Will Keir Starmer leave office? → /answer/keir-starmer-resign
- 12% — Will Keir Starmer be the next Secretary General of NATO → /answer/nextnatosecgen
- 7% — Will Trump declare war on Iran by... → /answer/trump-declare-war-iran
- 5% — Will there be a war with Iran? → /answer/iran-war
- 5% — Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30 → /answer/iran-sabotage-undersea-internet-cables-april-30
- 4% — Gulf State military action against Iran by... → /answer/gulf-state-military-action-against-iran
- 3% — Will Donald Trump meet in person the Supreme Leader of Iran before Aug 1, 2026 → /answer/trumpsupremeleader

## Legislation & Policy (25)
- 93% — Will 3 mg THC beverages qualify as hemp under federal law on Dec 10, 2026 → /answer/thc3mg-fed
- 86% — Will student loans be forgiven? → /answer/student-loan-forgiveness
- 79% — Will legislation designated as, or substantively serving as, the National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2027 by authorizing national defense programs or defense policy for that fiscal year become law before Nov 1, 2026 → /answer/ndaa-26jul
- 57% — Will legislation that increases the statutory limit on the public debt become law before Nov 1, 2026 → /answer/debtlimitincrease-26jul
- 53% — How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in April?: 4 → /answer/how-many-pieces-of-legislation-trump-sign-into-law-april
- 51% — Will legislation that authorizes siting the Women’s History Museum within the National Mall Reserve become law before Jan 1, 2027 → /answer/bills
- 44% — Will the first FISA Section 702 reauthorization enacted after Issuance extends the authority by at least 1 year become law before Jan 1, 2028 → /answer/fisalength
- 42% — Will the number of continuing resolutions for fiscal year 2027 that become law be at least 2 before October 1, 2027 → /answer/numcr
- 39% — Bill Belichick out before Jan 1, 2027 → /answer/ncaafcoachleave
- 35% — Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that a UK ban on social media platforms offering accounts to users under age 16 is in effect before Apr 1, 2027 → /answer/uksocialban-27
- 32% — Will TikTok be banned in the US? → /answer/tiktok-ban
- 30% — Will legislation appropriating at least $1 billion to U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP) for FY2026 become law before May 1, 2026 → /answer/dhscomponent
- 27% — Will legislation that, upon becoming law, results in the Department of Homeland Security being funded at 12:01 AM ET the calendar day after enactment become law before May 15, 2026 → /answer/dhsfund
- 23% — Will legislation that amends the Internal Revenue Code to effectively eliminate the long-term capital gains tax preference for carried interest (applicable partnership interests) become law before Jan 1, 2027 → /answer/carriedinterest-26may
- 22% — Will legislation establishing permanent Daylight Saving Time become law before Jan 1, 2028 → /answer/dst
- 22% — Will a reconciliation bill passed the Senate before Sep 1, 2026 → /answer/senaterec-26jun
- 20% — Will $15 Minimum Wage by 2029 become law in Pennsylvania before Jan 1, 2027 → /answer/statelaw
- 19% — Will AI be regulated? → /answer/ai-regulation
- 13% — Will marijuana be legalized federally? → /answer/marijuana-legalization
- 11% — Will crypto be regulated in the US? → /answer/crypto-regulation
- 8% — Will a bill capping federal student loan interest rates passed the House before Oct 2, 2026 → /answer/studentloancap-26aug
- 7% — Will the median first-year associate base salary for the largest law-firm-size category in 2027 be above $215,000 → /answer/biglawsalary
- 6% — Will Social Security be cut? → /answer/social-security-cuts
- 3% — Will the number of the 12 fiscal year 2027 regular appropriations bills that have become law be at least 1 before October 1, 2026 → /answer/numapprop
- 3% — Will legislation that transfers Homeland Security Investigations (HSI) out of ICE to establish it as a separate entity within the Department of Homeland Security become law in 2026 → /answer/icereform

## Stocks & Commodities (58)
- 97% — Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report above 4.8 million gold subs in Q1 2026 → /answer/hood
- 96% — Will the total amount of Department of Commerce gifts and bequests receipts, including Trump Gold Card Program receipts be above 1000000000 for fiscal year 2026 → /answer/commgifts
- 95% — Will Texas’s annual-average field production of crude oil for 2026 be above 5.7 million barrels/day → /answer/txoil
- 94% — How many oil rigs will the US have at the end of the year → /answer/oilrigs
- 94% — When will Oura Health Oy officially announce an IPO → /answer/ipooura
- 94% — Will Coeur Mining, Inc. report Above 220000 gold production in Q3 2026 → /answer/cde
- 93% — Will Petroleo Brasileiro S.A.- Petrobras report Above 3250 mboed total oil and gas production in fiscal 2026 → /answer/pbra
- 93% — When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO → /answer/ipoanthropic-date
- 90% — Who will IPO before 2027 → /answer/ipo
- 88% — How many oil barrels per day will the US produce this year → /answer/barrels
- 84% — Will Anthropic be assigned to Communication Services in the S&P 500 → /answer/anthropicsector
- 83% — Will the S&P 500 be above 8500 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST → /answer/inxdiry
- 81% — Nasdaq 100 (NDX) above ___ end of 2026?: >$24,000 → /answer/nasdaq-100-ndx-above
- 81% — What will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) close at in December?: $30,500-$33,000 → /answer/what-nasdaq-100-ndx-close-december
- 80% — Will Coeur Mining, Inc. report Above 700000 gold production in fiscal 2026 → /answer/cdea
- 78% — Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 38000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST → /answer/ndqdiry
- 75% — Will the price of WTI oil be above 80 on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST → /answer/wtidiry
- 75% — Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 28799.99 after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST → /answer/nasdaq100maxy
- 73% — Will the S&P/TSX Composite Index be at least 40,000 in 2026 → /answer/tsx
- 71% — WTI Oil Price → /answer/oil-price-wti
- 68% — Will it be confirmed that ConocoPhillips signs, itself or through a controlled affiliate, a binding agreement after Issuance granting it an enforceable upstream crude-oil economic participation right in Venezuela → /answer/venezoilcos
- 65% — Will the price of Gold be above 4300 on December 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM EST → /answer/golddiry
- 63% — Will the S&P 500 Index be above $8,000 before Sep 1, 2026 → /answer/sp500when-8000
- 56% — When will Perplexity officially announce an IPO → /answer/ipoperplexity-date
- 56% — When will Canva officially announce an IPO → /answer/ipocanva-date
- 56% — When will Discord IPO → /answer/ipodiscord
- 51% — Will the maximum SP500 value reach 8199.99 by Jan 1, 2027 → /answer/inxmaxy
- 49% — Will Cody Bellinger win the AL Gold Glove for Left Field in the 2026 season → /answer/mlbgg
- 46% — Will Citigroup serve as lead-left underwriter on Anthropic's IPO → /answer/anthropicleadleft
- 44% — Will the S&P/BMV IPC Index be at least MX$67,000 in 2026 → /answer/me
- ... and 28 more

## Crypto & Digital Assets (22)
- 76% — Will Bitcoin be above $85,000 by Oct 2, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET → /answer/btcprice-85000
- 32% — How many Senate members will vote Yea on a crypto market structure bill (as defined in KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE) → /answer/voteclarity
- 25% — Will Ethereum reach above $3750.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM → /answer/ethmaxy
- 25% — Will Bitcoin be below $60000.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00am ET → /answer/btcminy
- 21% — Will Output Token Price of OpenAI GPT 5.5 be at or below $20/MTok in 2026 → /answer/gbt55oy
- 20% — Will Donald Trump Jr. attend Trump's crypto & business conference (originally scheduled for Apr 25, 2026) → /answer/trumpcryptoconf
- 20% — Will Bitcoin be above $100000 by October 1, 2026 at 12:00AM ET → /answer/btcmax100
- 19% — Will Ethereum reach below $750.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM ET → /answer/ethminy
- 18% — Will Input Token Price of OpenAI GPT 5.5 be at or below $2/MTok in 2026 → /answer/gpt55y
- 18% — Will Bitcoin be above $109,999.99 by Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET → /answer/btcmaxy
- 17% — Will Input Token Price of Claude Opus 4.8 be at or below $2/MTok in 2026 → /answer/opus48y
- 16% — Will the U.S. Department of the Treasury announce its completed purchase of Ethereum for a government-held reserve or stockpile before Jan 21, 2029 → /answer/treasbuycrypto
- 16% — Will Input Token Price (Paid Tier) of Google Gemini 3.5 Flash be at or below $1.00/MTok in 2026 → /answer/gemini35y
- 14% — ETH price  on Jan 1, 2027 → /answer/ethy
- 14% — Will Kirsten Gillibrand vote for a crypto market structure bill (as defined in KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE) → /answer/svoteclarity
- 14% — Where is Ethereum price heading? → /answer/ethereum-price
- 13% — BTC price  on Jan 1, 2027 → /answer/btcy
- 12% — Will Output Token Price (Paid Tier) of Google Gemini 3.5 Flash be at or below $5/MTok in 2026 → /answer/gemini35oy
- 12% — Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin? → /answer/satoshi-move-bitcoin
- 12% — Will Satoshi Nakamoto be identified? → /answer/satoshi-identity
- 11% — Will Felix launch a token before Jan 1, 2027 → /answer/tokenlaunch
- 5% — Will Output Token Price of Claude Opus 4.8 be at or below $20/MTok in 2026 → /answer/opus48oy

## AI & Technology (43)
- 97% — How many SpaceX launches in April?: 13 → /answer/how-many-spacex-launches-april
- 97% — How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026 → /answer/spacexcount
- 94% — Will SpaceX report Above 12.5 million starlink active subscribers in Q3 2026 → /answer/spcx
- 91% — Will SpaceX report Above 18 million starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026 → /answer/spcxa
- 86% — Will OpenAI be assigned to Information Technology in the S&P 500 → /answer/openaisector
- 86% — Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Oct 1, 2026 → /answer/agico
- 85% — When will SpaceX launch Dragon Crew-13 → /answer/spcxlaunch-crew13
- 76% — When will SpaceX launch Dragon CRS-35 → /answer/spcxlaunch-crs35
- 70% — Will Google release next Gemini Pro model before Dec 1, 2026 → /answer/gemini-nextpro
- 69% — Will lowest priced of the any MacBook model on Apple.com be below $450 on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET → /answer/macbookprice
- 69% — Best AI in Dec 2026 → /answer/llm1
- 67% — Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Oct 1, 2026 → /answer/companyactionmerger-27
- 66% — Which AI company will have the best coding model on Dec 31, 2026 → /answer/codingmodel
- 66% — When will OpenAI IPO → /answer/ipoopenai
- 66% — Best Chinese AI Company end of April → /answer/best-chinese-ai-company-april
- 64% — Will any AI model have a score of at least 1750 before Jan 1, 2027 → /answer/aispike
- 54% — Will Adriana Lima be an official runway model at Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026 → /answer/vsangles
- 48% — Will the U.S. federal government take a stake of at least 1% in each of OpenAI and Anthropic (including any successor or parent substantially owning its AI business) before Jan 1, 2027 → /answer/usopenaianth
- 45% — Will the US commit to a national AI regulator before Jan 1, 2027 → /answer/usairegulator
- 44% — Will  exactly 2 Starship launches reach space in 2026 → /answer/starshipspace
- 28% — Will GTA 6 be delayed? → /answer/gta6-delay
- 27% — Which company has the #2 AI model end of April? (Style Control On) → /answer/which-company-has-2-ai-model-april
- 27% — Which company has the #3 AI model end of April? (Style Control On) → /answer/which-company-has-3-ai-model-april
- 27% — Which company has the #1 AI model end of April? (Style Control On) → /answer/which-company-has-1-ai-model-april
- 24% — Which company has the best AI model? → /answer/best-ai-model-2026
- 24% — Will JPMorgan Chase serve as lead-left underwriter on OpenAI's IPO → /answer/openaileadleft
- 21% — Which company has the best AI model end of April → /answer/which-company-has-best-ai-model-april
- 19% — Will Lazard take OpenAI public before Jan 1, 2028 → /answer/openaibankpublic
- 18% — Which company has the best Math AI model end of April → /answer/which-company-has-best-math-ai-model-april
- 18% — Which company has the second best Coding AI model end of April → /answer/which-company-has-second-best-coding-ai-model-april
- ... and 13 more

## Sports (77)
- 97% — Aaron Donald to compete in the Pro Football Game in 2026-27 season → /answer/nflcompete
- 90% — Will Grady Emerson play in a game for any team in the MLB before Nov 1, 2031 → /answer/mlbdebut-gemerson
- 89% — Will Vahn Lackey play in a game for any team in the MLB before Nov 1, 2030 → /answer/mlbdebut-vlackey
- 88% — Will the first regular season game in the 2027 Pro Baseball season take place before Apr 1, 2027 → /answer/mlbopeningday-27
- 88% — NBA Sixth Man of the Year Winner → /answer/nba-sixth-man-of-winner
- 88% — Will Seth Hernandez play in a game for any team in the MLB before May 1, 2028 → /answer/mlbdebut-shernandez
- 87% — Will Jackson Flora play in a game for any team in the MLB before Aug 1, 2030 → /answer/mlbdebut-jflora
- 87% — Will Notre Dame Football join the Big 10 before their first game of the 2027-28 College Football Season → /answer/ndjoinconf
- 86% — Will Roch Cholowsky play in a game for any team in the MLB before Aug 1, 2029 → /answer/mlbdebut-rcholowsky
- 81% — Will Franklin Arias play in a game for any team in the MLB before May 1, 2028 → /answer/mlbdebut-farias
- 73% — Will Zyhir Hope play in a game for any team in the MLB before May 1, 2028 → /answer/mlbdebut-zhope
- 72% — Will there be a game with a point differential of over 30.5 points in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season → /answer/nflblowout
- 70% — 2026 Game of the Year → /answer/gameawards
- 70% — Will Jesús Made play in a game for any team in the MLB before Nov 1, 2027 → /answer/mlbdebut-jmade
- 70% — Will Eli Willits play in a game for any team in the MLB before Nov 1, 2028 → /answer/mlbdebut-ewillits
- 67% — Will Aidan Miller play in a game for any team in the MLB before Oct 1, 2026 → /answer/mlbdebut-amiller
- 67% — Will Match Group Inc. report Above 12.8 million total payers in 2026 → /answer/mtcha
- 65% — Will Romania qualify for the 2030 Men's FIFA World Cup → /answer/wcqual
- 65% — Will any player record 55+ points in any individual game during the 2026-27 Pro Basketball regular season → /answer/nbagamespecials
- 62% — Will all hitters combined record 2+ instances of a player hitting 3+ home runs in a game → /answer/mlbstatcount
- 60% — Will the Bundesliga champion win by 5 to 7 points → /answer/bundesligapointmargin
- 56% — Will the Chicago Pro Football Team relocate to a new location in Illinois by the first game of the 2028 Pro Football regular season → /answer/relocationchi
- 54% — Will the Vanderbilt men's college basketball team finish as the Southeastern Conference regular season champion in the 2026-27 regular season → /answer/ncaambsecreg
- 52% — Will the Utah Mammoth qualify for the playoffs in the 2026-27 NHL season → /answer/nhlplayoff
- 51% — Will the WPG Jets NHL team earn at least 85 points in the 2026-27 regular season → /answer/nhlseasonpts
- 48% — Will OpenAI / ChatGPT run an ad during the Big Game 2027 → /answer/superbowlad
- 48% — Iowa St. selected to play in a bowl game or the College Football Playoff → /answer/ncaafbowlgame
- 45% — Will Ethan Holliday play in a game for any team in the MLB before Nov 1, 2028 → /answer/mlbdebut-eholliday
- 38% — Will Russell Westbrook announce his retirement before the 2028-29 NBA season → /answer/nbaretire
- 37% — Will Lane Johnson announce his retirement before the 2029-30 NFL season → /answer/nflretire
- ... and 47 more

## Entertainment & Culture (56)
- 97% — Will Pitbull release a new album before Sep 1, 2026 → /answer/albumreleasedate-newpit
- 96% — Will Miley Cyrus release a new album before Feb 1, 2027 → /answer/albumreleasedate-newmil
- 96% — Will the Music Industry have above 952700000 total USA Album Equivalent Units on Luminate in Jan 02, 2026 - Dec 31, 2026 → /answer/totalalbequiv
- 96% — 2027 Best Picture Oscar nominations → /answer/oscarnompic
- 95% — 2027 Best Music (Original Score) Oscar nominations → /answer/oscarnomscore
- 94% — 2027 Best Director Oscar nominations → /answer/oscarnomdir
- 92% — Will Don Toliver release new album before Oct 1, 2027 → /answer/albumreleasedate-newdon
- 91% — 2027 Best Actor Oscar nominations → /answer/oscarnomacto
- 90% — Will Tate McRae release a new album before Apr 1, 2027 → /answer/albumreleasedate-newtat
- 90% — Who will win Eurovision 2026? → /answer/eurovision-2026
- 90% — Will the Music Industry have above 140000000 total USA Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) on Luminate in Jan 02, 2026 - Dec 31, 2026 → /answer/totalprodsales
- 89% — 2027 Best Actress Oscar nominations → /answer/oscarnomactr
- 88% — 2026 Grammy nominees for Album of the Year → /answer/grammynomaoty
- 88% — 2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist → /answer/grammynomnaoty
- 88% — 2027 Best Cinematography Oscar nominations → /answer/oscarnomcin
- 87% — 2027 Best Visual Effects Oscar nominations → /answer/oscarnomvisual
- 87% — 2027 Achievement in Casting Oscar nominations → /answer/oscarnombcasting
- 84% — 2027 Best Adapted Screenplay Oscar nominations → /answer/oscarnomasplay
- 84% — 2027 Best International Feature Film Oscar nominations → /answer/oscarnominterfilm
- 81% — 2026 Grammy nominees for Song of the Year → /answer/grammynomsoty
- 80% — 2027 Best Original Screenplay Oscar nominations → /answer/oscarnomsplay
- 79% — 2026 Grammy nominees for Record of the Year → /answer/grammynomroty
- 78% — 2027 Best Animated Feature Film Oscar nominations → /answer/oscarnomsbanimatedf
- 78% — 2026 Grammy nominees for Best Rap Album → /answer/grammynombra
- 75% — Will a fourth Austin Powers movie be released United States before Jul 1, 2029 → /answer/moviereleasedate-aus
- 75% — Will Future release new album before Dec 1, 2026 → /answer/albumreleasedate-newfuture
- 74% — 2027 Best Makeup and Hairstyling Oscar nominations → /answer/oscarnommakeup
- 74% — 2027 Best Documentary Feature Film Oscar nominations → /answer/oscarnomdocu
- 69% — Will The Jonas Brothers release new album after issuance and before Jul 1, 2028 → /answer/albumreleasedate-newjon
- 68% — Will the next James Bond be released in the USA before Jul 1, 2027 → /answer/moviereleasedate-007
- ... and 26 more

## Climate & Science (8)
- 96% — Will there be more than 1 hurricane of category 1 or above in the Central Pacific in 2026 → /answer/hurricane
- 72% — When will the next hurricane form → /answer/nexthurdate
- 61% — Will the average daily minimum temperature in Texas (DFW & IAH) fall below 20°F for at least 2 days within a 4-day span before Jan 1, 2027 → /answer/txuri
- 44% — Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? → /answer/hottest-year
- 19% — Will Norbert be categorized as a hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026 → /answer/hurricanenames
- 12% — Will Amanda be the first named hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026 → /answer/firsthurricane
- 9% — Will a Category 5 hurricane hit the US? → /answer/hurricane-category5
- 3% — When will the next Category 5 hurricane form → /answer/nextcat5hurdate

## Other (1182)
- 97% — Will any team win at least 6 consecutive games in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season → /answer/nflwinstreak
- 97% — Will the price of Creed Aventus be above $300 in 2026 → /answer/creed
- 97% — Will Wisconsin's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 180 bu/acre → /answer/wicornyield
- 97% — Will Juan Soto win NL MVP → /answer/mlbnlmvp
- 97% — Will Life360, Inc. report Above 105.5 million global monthly active users in Q3 2026 → /answer/lif
- 97% — Will at least 40 GWdc of solar capacity be installed in 2026 → /answer/solar
- 97% — Will total FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026 be above 720,000 → /answer/cafairplan
- 97% — Will Hawaii’s total visitor arrivals for 2026 be above 9.4 million → /answer/hivisitors
- 97% — Will any LLM score at least 60% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027 → /answer/lastexam
- 97% — Will the number of visitors to Florida in 2026 be above 140 million → /answer/flvisitorcount
- 97% — Will Dune: Part Three be released Worldwide before Nov 1, 2026?: Before Nov 1, 2026 → /answer/mediareleasedune3
- 97% — Will there be more than 6000 measles cases in 2026 → /answer/measles
- 97% — Will Carnival Corporation report Above 97 million available lower berth days in 2026 → /answer/ccla
- 97% — Will dry natural gas production from the Marcellus formation for 2026 be above 9.50 Tcf → /answer/marcellusgas
- 97% — Will the margin of victory for Graham Platner in the 2026 Maine Democratic Senate primary be between 30% and 40% → /answer/primarymov
- 97% — Who will hold the WBC Heavyweight Title on January 1, 2027 → /answer/wbcheavyweighttitle
- 97% — Will Etsy, Inc. report Above $11 billion etsy marketplace gms in fiscal 2026 → /answer/etsya
- 97% — Will South Carolina total container volume for 2026 be above 2.5 million TEUs → /answer/scportteu
- 97% — Will the national debt hit $40 trillion during the Trump Administration → /answer/debtgrowth
- 97% — Will the AAA national average price for diesel on November 3, 2026 be above $4.40 → /answer/dieselelect
- 97% — Will there be more than 22 named storms in the Eastern Pacific in 2026 → /answer/namedstorm
- 97% — Will CAVA Group Inc. report Above 455 cava restaurants in Q1 2026 → /answer/cava
- 97% — Will Verizon Communications Inc report Above 150 thousand postpaid phone net additions in Q3 2026 → /answer/vz
- 97% — Will average Wall Street bonus for 2026 be above $250,000 → /answer/wallstbonus
- 97% — Will Northstar California Resort open before Dec 27, 2026 → /answer/northstaropen-27
- 96% — Will Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for 2026 be above 92.5 TWh → /answer/ilnuclear
- 96% — Will California’s total number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in 2026 be above 105,000 → /answer/cabuildpermits
- 96% — Will the number of ICE removals be above 400000 in FY2026 → /answer/deportations
- 96% — Who will win the governorship in California → /answer/govca
- 96% — Will Vermont’s total milk production for 2026 be above 2.45 billion pounds → /answer/vtmilk
- ... and 1152 more

---
Updated 2026-09-14 04:44:02 UTC
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev
Search: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q={your question}