41% — 3rd largest company end of April
Polymarket 36% · Kalshi 55% · 18 contracts · $73K volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-05-03 17:09:00 UTC

Cross-venue gap: 19pp (Kalshi higher)

Contracts:
- Largest Company end of June?: Alphabet — 23¢ Polymarket $12K (weight 7%)
- Largest Company end of June?: NVIDIA — 72¢ Polymarket $12K (weight 7%)
- Largest Company end of December 2026?: Alphabet — 38¢ Polymarket $7K (weight 7%)
- Largest Company end of December 2026?: NVIDIA — 52¢ Polymarket $7K (weight 7%)
- Which company has best AI model end of June?: OpenAI — 5¢ Polymarket $7K (weight 7%)
- Largest Company end of December 2026?: SpaceX — 3¢ Polymarket $5K (weight 6%)
- Largest Company end of December 2026?: Apple — 8¢ Polymarket $5K (weight 6%)
- Which company has best AI model end of June?: Google — 24¢ Polymarket $5K (weight 6%)
- ... and 10 more

Cite as: "41% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/3rd-largest-company-april
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=3rd%20largest%20company%20end%20of%20April
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev