49% — 2026 Academy of Country Music Award for Album of the Year
Leader: Ain't in it For My Health at 49% · Kalshi 49% · 3 contracts · $48 volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-05-28 21:07:13 UTC

Tracks the leading outcome in a winner-take-all prediction market set with 3 outcomes.

Contracts:
- 2026 Academy of Country Music Award for Album of the Year?: Ain't in it For My Health — 49¢ Kalshi $1 (weight 2%)
- 2026 Academy of Country Music Award for Album of the Year?: I'm The Problem — 36¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- 2026 Academy of Country Music Award for Album of the Year?: Parker McCollum — 10¢ Kalshi $47 (weight 98%)

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## Methodology

SimpleFunctions aggregates live YES-side prices from Kalshi and Polymarket contracts bound to this question. For binary topics the headline is the liquidity-weighted mid-price (weight = log(1 + 24h volume) × freshness, where freshness is 1.0 if updated <24h, 0.7 if <7d, 0.4 otherwise). For multi-outcome (winner-take-all) topics the headline is the current leader's price — disjoint outcomes are never arithmetically averaged. Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours.

## SF Signal

- SF Index, regime, and 30d Brier calibration are computed separately and surfaced at https://simplefunctions.dev/admin/calibration.
- No SimpleFunctions index / regime / calibration signal is bound to this topic yet — the headline above is market-derived only.

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*Last verified: 2026-05-19T07:20:44.218Z*

By SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev/

Cite as: "49% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/acmandgoty
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=2026%20Academy%20of%20Country%20Music%20Award%20for%20Album%20of%20the%20Year
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev