58% — Will any company announce acquisition of BP before Jan 1, 2027
Leader: Spire Healthcare at 58% · Kalshi 58% · 19 contracts · $1K volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-05-28 21:13:02 UTC

Tracks the leading outcome in a winner-take-all prediction market set with 19 outcomes.

Contracts:
- Will any company announce acquisition of Spire Healthcare before Jan 1, 2027?: Spire Healthcare — 58¢ Kalshi $744 (weight 58%)
- Will any company announce acquisition of Delivery Hero before Jan 1, 2027?: Delivery Hero — 48¢ Kalshi $10 (weight 1%)
- Will any company announce acquisition of Viking Therapeutics before Jan 1, 2027?: Viking Therapeutics — 32¢ Kalshi $3 (weight 0%)
- Will any company announce acquisition of Magnum Ice Cream Company before Jan 1, 2027?: Magnum Ice Cream Company — 25¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Will any company announce acquisition of Cordis before Jan 1, 2027?: Cordis — 22¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Will any company announce acquisition of Perplexity AI before Jan 1, 2027?: Perplexity AI — 20¢ Kalshi $8 (weight 1%)
- Will any company announce acquisition of SentinelOne before Jan 1, 2027?: SentinelOne — 19¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Will any company announce acquisition of Pizza Hut before Jan 1, 2027?: Pizza Hut — 17¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- ... and 11 more

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## Methodology

SimpleFunctions aggregates live YES-side prices from Kalshi and Polymarket contracts bound to this question. For binary topics the headline is the liquidity-weighted mid-price (weight = log(1 + 24h volume) × freshness, where freshness is 1.0 if updated <24h, 0.7 if <7d, 0.4 otherwise). For multi-outcome (winner-take-all) topics the headline is the current leader's price — disjoint outcomes are never arithmetically averaged. Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours.

## SF Signal

- SF Index, regime, and 30d Brier calibration are computed separately and surfaced at https://simplefunctions.dev/admin/calibration.
- No SimpleFunctions index / regime / calibration signal is bound to this topic yet — the headline above is market-derived only.

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*Last verified: 2026-05-28T20:20:10.299Z*

By SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev/

Cite as: "58% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/acqannounceannual
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20any%20company%20announce%20acquisition%20of%20BP%20before%20Jan%201%2C%202027
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev