97% — Will Pick You Up by Sheryl Crow have above 50000 streams during the October 09, 2026 - October 15, 2026 tracking week Leader: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI have above 10000000 streams during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026 tracking week?: Above 10M at 97% · Kalshi 97% · 19 contracts · $22K volume · medium confidence Updated 2026-09-25 10:21:48 UTC Tracks the leading outcome in a winner-take-all prediction market set with 19 outcomes. Why this matters: This market tracks whether Sheryl Crow's song 'Pick You Up' will achieve more than 50,000 streams during the week of October 9-15, 2026. The 20% probability suggests low confidence in the track reaching this threshold. Crow, a 1990s rock artist, faces challenges typical of established acts releasing new material: competing against contemporary streaming habits, algorithm placement, and promotional reach. The song's performance depends on several variables including whether it receives significant radio or playlist support, its chart momentum in preceding weeks, and overall market conditions for rock music streaming. The resolution occurs when Spotify reports official weekly streaming data for that tracking period, providing a clear binary outcome. A key consideration is the timing—whether the track benefits from promotional activities, media appearances, or chart performance in the weeks leading up to the tracked period. Key factors: - Sheryl Crow's historical streaming performance and current audience size relative to the 50K threshold for a single week - Playlist placement on major Spotify curated lists (New Music Daily, RapCaviar alternatives, genre-specific playlists) which typically drive streaming volume for established artists - Radio airplay and media promotion in the week preceding and during October 9-15, which often correlates with streaming upticks - Competition from new releases by other major artists during the same tracking week that might fragment listener attention - The song's cumulative momentum and listener retention from its initial release through early October 2026 Contracts: - Will Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI have above 10000000 streams during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026 tracking week?: Above 10M — 97¢ Kalshi $10 (weight 0%) - Will Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI have above 15000000 streams during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026 tracking week?: Above 15M — 96¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%) - Will Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI have above 25000000 streams during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026 tracking week?: Above 25M — 95¢ Kalshi $18 (weight 0%) - Will Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI have above 20000000 streams during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026 tracking week?: Above 20M — 94¢ Kalshi $36 (weight 0%) - Will Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI have above 30000000 streams during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026 tracking week?: Above 30M — 90¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%) - Will Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI have above 35000000 streams during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026 tracking week?: Above 35M — 85¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%) - Will Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI have above 40000000 streams during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026 tracking week?: Above 40M — 81¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%) - Will Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI have above 50000000 streams during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026 tracking week?: Above 50M — 76¢ Kalshi $2K (weight 9%) - ... and 11 more --- ## Methodology SimpleFunctions aggregates live YES-side prices from Kalshi and Polymarket contracts bound to this question. For binary topics the headline is the liquidity-weighted mid-price (weight = log(1 + 24h volume) × freshness, where freshness is 1.0 if updated <24h, 0.7 if <7d, 0.4 otherwise). For multi-outcome (winner-take-all) topics the headline is the current leader's price — disjoint outcomes are never arithmetically averaged. Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours. ## SF Signal - SF Index, regime, and 30d Brier calibration are computed separately and surfaced at https://simplefunctions.dev/admin/calibration. - No SimpleFunctions index / regime / calibration signal is bound to this topic yet — the headline above is market-derived only. --- *Last verified: 2026-09-25T10:20:51.329Z* By SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev/ Cite as: "97% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, September 2026)" Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/albumstreams Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Pick%20You%20Up%20by%20Sheryl%20Crow%20have%20above%2050000%20streams%20during%20the%20October%2009%2C%202026%20-%20October%2015%2C%202026%20tracking%20week Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev