67% — 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Award for Best Anime Supporting Character
Leader: Katsuki Bakugo at 67% · Kalshi 67% · 4 contracts · $2 volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-05-09 07:21:43 UTC

Tracks the leading outcome in a winner-take-all prediction market set with 4 outcomes.

Why this matters:
This represents the market's current odds that a specific character—likely Katsuki Bakugo based on the contract code—will win the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Award for Best Anime Supporting Character. The 67% probability reflects confidence in this outcome, though with roughly one-third of traders expecting an alternative winner. The current level is driven by the character's prominence in a major ongoing series and likely strong fan voting patterns typical of Crunchyroll's annual awards. The resolution hinges on the official awards ceremony, typically held in early 2027 when Crunchyroll announces winners. Key uncertainties include late-season character development that could shift fan sentiment, voter participation rates across different demographics, and whether competing characters from other popular series capture stronger support. The relatively thin market volume ($3M across contracts) suggests modest but engaged interest in this specific category. Changes in market pricing would likely reflect new episodes airing, award nomination patterns becoming public, or shifts in fan engagement metrics.

Key factors:
- Character prominence and development trajectory in their source series between now and the 2026 awards voting window
- Fan voting participation rates and demographic distribution, which historically favors characters from series with large, engaged fanbases
- Competition from supporting characters in other concurrent popular anime, particularly from ongoing series with comparable viewership
- Any official award nomination announcements or category rule changes Crunchyroll publishes prior to voting
- Market liquidity and contract volume trends—current volumes suggest niche interest that could shift with major anime releases or fandom activity

Contracts:
- 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Award for Best Anime Supporting Character?: Katsuki Bakugo — 67¢ Kalshi $2 (weight 100%)
- 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Award for Best Anime Supporting Character?: Tie — 5¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Award for Best Anime Supporting Character?: Jin Enjoji (Jiji) — 4¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Award for Best Anime Supporting Character?: Jinshi — 3¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)

Cite as: "67% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/animebsa
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=2026%20Crunchyroll%20Anime%20Award%20for%20Best%20Anime%20Supporting%20Character
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev