85% — Will RÜFÜS DU SOL have 100000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026
Kalshi 85% · 15 contracts · $7K volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-05-28 20:44:03 UTC

Contracts:
- Will Drake have 28000000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?: Above 28.0B  — 78¢ Kalshi $2K (weight 30%)
- Will Beyoncé have 4500000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?: Above 4.5B — 97¢ Kalshi $1K (weight 17%)
- Will Drake have 27000000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?: Above 27.0B  — 83¢ Kalshi $623 (weight 9%)
- Will Drake have 13000000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?: Above 13B — 94¢ Kalshi $610 (weight 8%)
- Will Taylor Swift have 17500000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?: Above 17.5B — 94¢ Kalshi $590 (weight 8%)
- Will Drake have 26000000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?: Above 26.0B  — 88¢ Kalshi $529 (weight 7%)
- Will Harry Styles have 5500000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?: Above 5.5B — 93¢ Kalshi $499 (weight 7%)
- Will Frank Ocean have 3800000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?: Above 3.8B — 97¢ Kalshi $312 (weight 4%)
- ... and 7 more

---

## Methodology

SimpleFunctions aggregates live YES-side prices from Kalshi and Polymarket contracts bound to this question. For binary topics the headline is the liquidity-weighted mid-price (weight = log(1 + 24h volume) × freshness, where freshness is 1.0 if updated <24h, 0.7 if <7d, 0.4 otherwise). For multi-outcome (winner-take-all) topics the headline is the current leader's price — disjoint outcomes are never arithmetically averaged. Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours.

## SF Signal

- SF Index, regime, and 30d Brier calibration are computed separately and surfaced at https://simplefunctions.dev/admin/calibration.
- No SimpleFunctions index / regime / calibration signal is bound to this topic yet — the headline above is market-derived only.

---

*Last verified: 2026-05-28T20:20:11.218Z*

By SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev/

Cite as: "85% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/artiststreamsy
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20R%C3%9CF%C3%9CS%20DU%20SOL%20have%20100000000%20Streams%20on%20Luminate%20during%20January%2001%20-%20December%2031%2C%202026
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev