33% — Will Robert Galloway / John Peers win the Atmane / Muller vs Galloway / Peers
Kalshi 33% · 20 contracts · $44 volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-05-28 20:44:03 UTC

Why this matters:
This probability reflects the likelihood that the doubles team of Robert Galloway and John Peers will defeat Terence Atmane and Alexandre Muller in a Round of 64 match at an upcoming tennis tournament. At 17%, the market is currently favoring Atmane and Muller as the stronger pairing. The probability depends primarily on the recent form and ranking strength of both teams—higher-ranked or in-form players would increase Galloway/Peers' chances, while momentum shifts toward their opponents would lower it. The match outcome will be definitively resolved when the match is played, which determines whether this prediction was accurate. Current contract pricing shows limited trading activity, suggesting relatively low market confidence or interest in this specific matchup at present.

Key factors:
- ATP/ITF doubles rankings and recent win-loss records for both Galloway/Peers and Atmane/Muller
- Head-to-head match history between these two teams, if any exists
- Surface type of the tournament and which team's playing style typically performs better on that surface
- Recent tournament performance and seeding status of both teams entering this Round of 64
- Player injury status or roster changes in the days leading up to the scheduled match

Contracts:
- Will Marcel Granollers / Horacio Zeballos win the Granollers / Zeballos vs Kirkov / Stevens: Round Of 32 match?: Marcel Granollers / Horacio Zeballos — 81¢ Kalshi $33 (weight 76%)
- Will Andre Goransson / Evan King win the Goransson / King vs Hidalgo / Trhac: Round Of 32 match?: Andre Goransson / Evan King — 51¢ Kalshi $7 (weight 16%)
- Will Julian Cash / Lloyd Glasspool win the Cash / Glasspool vs Pavlasek / Rikl: Round Of 32 match?: Julian Cash / Lloyd Glasspool — 56¢ Kalshi $2 (weight 5%)
- Will Zizou Bergs / Raphael Collignon win the Bergs / Collignon vs Nouza / Oberleitner: Round Of 32 match?: Zizou Bergs / Raphael Collignon — 31¢ Kalshi $1 (weight 2%)
- Will Marcelo Arevalo / Mate Pavic win the Arevalo / Pavic vs Galloway / Peers: Round Of 32 match?: Marcelo Arevalo / Mate Pavic — 4¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Will Robert Galloway / John Peers win the Arevalo / Pavic vs Galloway / Peers: Round Of 32 match?: Robert Galloway / John Peers — 4¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Will Sander Arends / David Pel win the Arends / Pel vs Krajicek / Mektic: Round Of 32 match?: Sander Arends / David Pel — 34¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Will Austin Krajicek / Nikola Mektic win the Arends / Pel vs Krajicek / Mektic: Round Of 32 match?: Austin Krajicek / Nikola Mektic — 56¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- ... and 12 more

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## Methodology

SimpleFunctions aggregates live YES-side prices from Kalshi and Polymarket contracts bound to this question. For binary topics the headline is the liquidity-weighted mid-price (weight = log(1 + 24h volume) × freshness, where freshness is 1.0 if updated <24h, 0.7 if <7d, 0.4 otherwise). For multi-outcome (winner-take-all) topics the headline is the current leader's price — disjoint outcomes are never arithmetically averaged. Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours.

## SF Signal

- SF Index, regime, and 30d Brier calibration are computed separately and surfaced at https://simplefunctions.dev/admin/calibration.
- No SimpleFunctions index / regime / calibration signal is bound to this topic yet — the headline above is market-derived only.

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*Last verified: 2026-05-28T20:20:07.016Z*

By SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev/

Cite as: "33% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/atpdoubles
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Robert%20Galloway%20%2F%20John%20Peers%20win%20the%20Atmane%20%2F%20Muller%20vs%20Galloway%20%2F%20Peers
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev