56% — Will Adam Sandler attend any UFC Freedom 250 event in person
Kalshi 56% · 20 contracts · $3K volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-05-28 20:35:02 UTC

Contracts:
- Will Adin Ross attend any UFC Freedom 250 event in person?: Adin Ross — 66¢ Kalshi $935 (weight 32%)
- Will Elon Musk attend any UFC Freedom 250 event in person?: Elon Musk — 41¢ Kalshi $690 (weight 24%)
- Will Kid Rock attend any UFC Freedom 250 event in person?: Kid Rock — 45¢ Kalshi $265 (weight 9%)
- Will Marco Rubio attend any UFC Freedom 250 event in person?: Marco Rubio — 91¢ Kalshi $224 (weight 8%)
- Will Jake Paul attend any UFC Freedom 250 event in person?: Jake Paul — 47¢ Kalshi $216 (weight 7%)
- Will Donald Trump Jr. attend any UFC Freedom 250 event in person?: Donald Trump Jr. — 55¢ Kalshi $182 (weight 6%)
- Will Barron Trump attend any UFC Freedom 250 event in person?: Barron Trump — 65¢ Kalshi $85 (weight 3%)
- Will Spencer Pratt attend any UFC Freedom 250 event in person?: Spencer Pratt — 10¢ Kalshi $68 (weight 2%)
- ... and 12 more

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## Methodology

SimpleFunctions aggregates live YES-side prices from Kalshi and Polymarket contracts bound to this question. For binary topics the headline is the liquidity-weighted mid-price (weight = log(1 + 24h volume) × freshness, where freshness is 1.0 if updated <24h, 0.7 if <7d, 0.4 otherwise). For multi-outcome (winner-take-all) topics the headline is the current leader's price — disjoint outcomes are never arithmetically averaged. Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours.

## SF Signal

- SF Index, regime, and 30d Brier calibration are computed separately and surfaced at https://simplefunctions.dev/admin/calibration.
- No SimpleFunctions index / regime / calibration signal is bound to this topic yet — the headline above is market-derived only.

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*Last verified: 2026-05-28T20:20:07.648Z*

By SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev/

Cite as: "56% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/attendufc250
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Adam%20Sandler%20attend%20any%20UFC%20Freedom%20250%20event%20in%20person
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev