35% — Austin FC vs. St. Louis City SC - More Markets
Polymarket 35% · 20 contracts · $0 volume · low confidence
Updated 2026-05-03 15:11:59 UTC

Why this matters:
This market reflects a 37% probability that Austin FC will defeat St. Louis City SC in an upcoming MLS match. The probability sits in the lower-to-moderate range, suggesting the market views St. Louis City SC as the more likely winner or favors a draw outcome. Austin FC's current form, head-to-head record against St. Louis City SC, home/away advantage considerations, and injury status of key players are the primary factors influencing this probability. The match itself will resolve this uncertainty when played. Market participants are pricing in historical performance data, seasonal standings, and available team news. The relatively even distribution of probability across multiple related contracts suggests modest confidence in any single outcome, typical for competitive MLS matchups. Volume data shows limited recent trading activity across these contracts, indicating either low current interest or a match scheduled further out.

Key factors:
- Austin FC's current MLS season record, win percentage, and points-per-game relative to St. Louis City SC's corresponding metrics
- Historical head-to-head record between the teams and performance in similar matchup contexts
- Home/away venue advantage and each team's performance split in their respective stadiums during the current season
- Confirmed injury status or suspension of starting players for either team, particularly offensive or defensive key performers
- Current league standings, goal differential, and recent form (last 5-10 matches) for both teams as of the match date

Contracts:
- Tochigi City FC vs. Yokohama FC - More Markets: Tochigi City FC (-1.5) — 23¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 5%)
- New York City FC vs. Los Angeles FC - More Markets: O/U 3.5 — 35¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 5%)
- New York City FC vs. Los Angeles FC - More Markets: O/U 1.5 — 66¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 5%)
- Tochigi City FC vs. Yokohama FC - More Markets: O/U 1.5 — 66¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 5%)
- Mumbai City FC vs. East Bengal FC - More Markets: East Bengal FC (-1.5) — 15¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 5%)
- Tochigi City FC vs. Yokohama FC - More Markets: O/U 3.5 — 36¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 5%)
- Tochigi City FC vs. Yokohama FC - More Markets: Yokohama FC (-1.5) — 33¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 5%)
- New York City FC vs. Los Angeles FC - More Markets: Both Teams to Score — 51¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 5%)
- ... and 12 more

Cite as: "35% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/austin-fc-vs-st-louis-city-sc-more-markets
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Austin%20FC%20vs.%20St.%20Louis%20City%20SC%20-%20More%20Markets
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev