50% — Bank of England decision in April
Polymarket 48% · Kalshi 55% · 20 contracts · $12K volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-05-03 17:36:42 UTC

Cross-venue gap: 7pp (Kalshi higher)

Contracts:
- Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in May?: No Change — 5¢ Polymarket $4K (weight 8%)
- Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in May?: Increase — 95¢ Polymarket $3K (weight 8%)
- Bank of Mexico Decision in May: No change — 8¢ Polymarket $1K (weight 7%)
- Bank of Mexico Decision in May: Decrease — 93¢ Polymarket $927 (weight 7%)
- Bank of Brazil Decision in June?: No Change — 22¢ Polymarket $360 (weight 6%)
- Bank of Russia decision in June?: Decrease — 80¢ Polymarket $304 (weight 6%)
- Bank of Japan Decision in June?: 25 bps increase — 51¢ Polymarket $301 (weight 6%)
- Bank of Korea decision in May?: No Change — 95¢ Polymarket $263 (weight 5%)
- ... and 12 more

Cite as: "50% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/bank-of-england-decision-april
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Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev