36% — Will Donovan Mitchell be selected to the USA Men's Basketball team for the 2028 Summer Olympics
Kalshi 36% · 20 contracts · $0 volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-05-29 23:40:08 UTC

Contracts:
- Will Anthony Davis be selected to the USA Men's Basketball team for the 2028 Summer Olympics?: Anthony Davis — 6¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 5%)
- Will AJ Dybantsa be selected to the USA Men's Basketball team for the 2028 Summer Olympics?: AJ Dybantsa — 11¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 5%)
- Will Anthony Edwards be selected to the USA Men's Basketball team for the 2028 Summer Olympics?: Anthony Edwards — 91¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 5%)
- Will Austin Reaves be selected to the USA Men's Basketball team for the 2028 Summer Olympics?: Austin Reaves — 6¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 5%)
- Will Amen Thompson be selected to the USA Men's Basketball team for the 2028 Summer Olympics?: Amen Thompson — 11¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 5%)
- Will Bam Adebayo be selected to the USA Men's Basketball team for the 2028 Summer Olympics?: Bam Adebayo — 53¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 5%)
- Will Cameron Boozer be selected to the USA Men's Basketball team for the 2028 Summer Olympics?: Cameron Boozer — 6¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 5%)
- Will Cade Cunningham be selected to the USA Men's Basketball team for the 2028 Summer Olympics?: Cade Cunningham — 91¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 5%)
- ... and 12 more

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## Methodology

SimpleFunctions aggregates live YES-side prices from Kalshi and Polymarket contracts bound to this question. For binary topics the headline is the liquidity-weighted mid-price (weight = log(1 + 24h volume) × freshness, where freshness is 1.0 if updated <24h, 0.7 if <7d, 0.4 otherwise). For multi-outcome (winner-take-all) topics the headline is the current leader's price — disjoint outcomes are never arithmetically averaged. Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours.

## SF Signal

- SF Index, regime, and 30d Brier calibration are computed separately and surfaced at https://simplefunctions.dev/admin/calibration.
- No SimpleFunctions index / regime / calibration signal is bound to this topic yet — the headline above is market-derived only.

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*Last verified: 2026-05-29T23:20:07.048Z*

By SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev/

Cite as: "36% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/bballteamusa
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Donovan%20Mitchell%20be%20selected%20to%20the%20USA%20Men's%20Basketball%20team%20for%20the%202028%20Summer%20Olympics
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev