60% — Beijing Guoan FC vs. Henan FC
Leader: Beijing Guoan FC at 60% · Polymarket 60% · 3 contracts · $2K volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-05-25 00:30:50 UTC

Tracks the leading outcome in a winner-take-all prediction market set with 3 outcomes.

Contracts:
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Henan FC: Beijing Guoan FC — 60¢ Polymarket $695 (weight 42%)
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Henan FC: Draw (Beijing Guoan FC vs. Henan FC) — 22¢ Polymarket $474 (weight 29%)
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Henan FC: Henan FC — 19¢ Polymarket $476 (weight 29%)

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## Methodology

SimpleFunctions aggregates live YES-side prices from Kalshi and Polymarket contracts bound to this question. For binary topics the headline is the liquidity-weighted mid-price (weight = log(1 + 24h volume) × freshness, where freshness is 1.0 if updated <24h, 0.7 if <7d, 0.4 otherwise). For multi-outcome (winner-take-all) topics the headline is the current leader's price — disjoint outcomes are never arithmetically averaged. Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours.

## SF Signal

- SF Index, regime, and 30d Brier calibration are computed separately and surfaced at https://simplefunctions.dev/admin/calibration.
- No SimpleFunctions index / regime / calibration signal is bound to this topic yet — the headline above is market-derived only.

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*Last verified: 2026-05-24T13:20:13.105Z*

By SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev/

Cite as: "60% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/beijing-guoan-fc-vs-henan-fc
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Beijing%20Guoan%20FC%20vs.%20Henan%20FC
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev