83% — Beijing Guoan FC vs. Henan FC - More Markets
Leader: O/U 1.5 at 83% · Polymarket 83% · 9 contracts · $3K volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-05-25 00:31:25 UTC

Tracks the leading outcome in a winner-take-all prediction market set with 9 outcomes.

Contracts:
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Henan FC - More Markets: O/U 1.5 — 83¢ Polymarket $701 (weight 23%)
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Henan FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5 — 62¢ Polymarket $387 (weight 13%)
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Henan FC - More Markets: Both Teams to Score — 57¢ Polymarket $17 (weight 1%)
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Henan FC - More Markets: O/U 3.5 — 40¢ Polymarket $534 (weight 17%)
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Henan FC - More Markets: Beijing Guoan FC (-1.5) — 36¢ Polymarket $663 (weight 22%)
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Henan FC - More Markets: O/U 4.5 — 22¢ Polymarket $605 (weight 20%)
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Henan FC - More Markets: Beijing Guoan FC (-2.5) — 18¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 0%)
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Henan FC - More Markets: Henan FC (-1.5) — 7¢ Polymarket $156 (weight 5%)
- ... and 1 more

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## Methodology

SimpleFunctions aggregates live YES-side prices from Kalshi and Polymarket contracts bound to this question. For binary topics the headline is the liquidity-weighted mid-price (weight = log(1 + 24h volume) × freshness, where freshness is 1.0 if updated <24h, 0.7 if <7d, 0.4 otherwise). For multi-outcome (winner-take-all) topics the headline is the current leader's price — disjoint outcomes are never arithmetically averaged. Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours.

## SF Signal

- SF Index, regime, and 30d Brier calibration are computed separately and surfaced at https://simplefunctions.dev/admin/calibration.
- No SimpleFunctions index / regime / calibration signal is bound to this topic yet — the headline above is market-derived only.

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*Last verified: 2026-05-24T13:20:13.105Z*

By SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev/

Cite as: "83% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/beijing-guoan-fc-vs-henan-fc-more-markets
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Beijing%20Guoan%20FC%20vs.%20Henan%20FC%20-%20More%20Markets
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev