84% — Beijing Guoan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC - More Markets
Leader: O/U 1.5 at 84% · Polymarket 84% · 9 contracts · $0 volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-05-11 20:48:00 UTC

Tracks the leading outcome in a winner-take-all prediction market set with 9 outcomes.

Contracts:
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC - More Markets: O/U 1.5 — 84¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 11%)
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5 — 65¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 11%)
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC - More Markets: Both Teams to Score — 56¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 11%)
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC - More Markets: Beijing Guoan FC (-1.5) — 46¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 11%)
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC - More Markets: O/U 3.5 — 44¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 11%)
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC - More Markets: Beijing Guoan FC (-2.5) — 28¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 11%)
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC - More Markets: O/U 4.5 — 25¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 11%)
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC - More Markets: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-1.5) — 10¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 11%)
- ... and 1 more

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## Methodology

SimpleFunctions aggregates live YES-side prices from Kalshi and Polymarket contracts bound to this question. For binary topics the headline is the liquidity-weighted mid-price (weight = log(1 + 24h volume) × freshness, where freshness is 1.0 if updated <24h, 0.7 if <7d, 0.4 otherwise). For multi-outcome (winner-take-all) topics the headline is the current leader's price — disjoint outcomes are never arithmetically averaged. Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours.

## SF Signal

- SF Index, regime, and 30d Brier calibration are computed separately and surfaced at https://simplefunctions.dev/admin/calibration.
- No SimpleFunctions index / regime / calibration signal is bound to this topic yet — the headline above is market-derived only.

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*Last verified: 2026-05-11T20:35:35.148Z*

By SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev/

Cite as: "84% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/beijing-guoan-fc-vs-qingdao-hainiu-fc-more-markets
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Beijing%20Guoan%20FC%20vs.%20Qingdao%20Hainiu%20FC%20-%20More%20Markets
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev