93% — Best Chinese AI Company end of May
Leader: Alibaba at 93% · Polymarket 93% · 2 contracts · $6K volume · low confidence
Updated 2026-05-28 22:20:05 UTC

Tracks the leading outcome in a winner-take-all prediction market set with 2 outcomes.

Contracts:
- Best Chinese AI Company end of May?: Alibaba — 93¢ Polymarket $4K (weight 69%)
- Best Chinese AI Company end of May?: Z.ai — 3¢ Polymarket $2K (weight 31%)

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## Methodology

SimpleFunctions aggregates live YES-side prices from Kalshi and Polymarket contracts bound to this question. For binary topics the headline is the liquidity-weighted mid-price (weight = log(1 + 24h volume) × freshness, where freshness is 1.0 if updated <24h, 0.7 if <7d, 0.4 otherwise). For multi-outcome (winner-take-all) topics the headline is the current leader's price — disjoint outcomes are never arithmetically averaged. Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours.

## SF Signal

- SF Index, regime, and 30d Brier calibration are computed separately and surfaced at https://simplefunctions.dev/admin/calibration.
- No SimpleFunctions index / regime / calibration signal is bound to this topic yet — the headline above is market-derived only.

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*Last verified: 2026-05-28T21:20:09.293Z*

By SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev/

Cite as: "93% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/best-chinese-ai-company-may
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Best%20Chinese%20AI%20Company%20end%20of%20May
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev