4% — Will Barrett Pfeiffer finish in 2 place in Big Brother Season 28
Kalshi 4% · 19 contracts · $4K volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-07-13 05:11:44 UTC

Why this matters:
This represents the estimated likelihood that Barrett Pfeiffer will finish as the runner-up in Big Brother Season 28. The 7% probability reflects a relatively low probability of second-place finish, placing Pfeiffer among several contestants with similar odds. The current level is likely driven by the distribution of remaining houseguests still in competition and Pfeiffer's gameplay performance and social positioning relative to other finalists. The main catalyst that will resolve this uncertainty is the finale itself, when the final two houseguests are determined and voted on by the jury. Any major shifts in alliance dynamics, competitive wins, or voting patterns before the finale could meaningfully alter these odds.

Key factors:
- Barrett Pfeiffer's current status in the game (still active, on the block, or eliminated) determines whether a second-place finish remains possible
- Odds are distributed relatively evenly across multiple contestants (most around 6-13 cents), suggesting genuine uncertainty about who reaches finale
- Lyric Medeiros trades at 13 cents—the highest among these runner-up contracts—suggesting market participants view them as a stronger finalist candidate
- No trading volume in 24 hours indicates low recent activity and limited new information moving the market
- The finale date will determine when this market resolves to a definitive outcome

Contracts:
- Will Yash Patel finish in 2 place in Big Brother Season 28?: Yash Patel — 5¢ Kalshi $940 (weight 23%)
- Will Rome Seymour finish in 3 place in Big Brother Season 28?: Rome Seymour — 3¢ Kalshi $732 (weight 18%)
- Will Kamu Kirk finish in 3 place in Big Brother Season 28?: Kamu Kirk — 4¢ Kalshi $551 (weight 13%)
- Will Ashley Trail finish in 3 place in Big Brother Season 28?: Ashley Trail — 3¢ Kalshi $491 (weight 12%)
- Will LaTrice Verrett finish in 3 place in Big Brother Season 28?: LaTrice Verrett — 3¢ Kalshi $378 (weight 9%)
- Will Haley Thogmartin finish in 3 place in Big Brother Season 28?: Haley Thogmartin — 3¢ Kalshi $275 (weight 7%)
- Will Ashley Trail finish in 2 place in Big Brother Season 28?: Ashley Trail — 3¢ Kalshi $274 (weight 7%)
- Will Jason De Puy finish in 3 place in Big Brother Season 28?: Jason De Puy — 4¢ Kalshi $149 (weight 4%)
- ... and 11 more

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## Methodology

SimpleFunctions aggregates live YES-side prices from Kalshi and Polymarket contracts bound to this question. For binary topics the headline is the liquidity-weighted mid-price (weight = log(1 + 24h volume) × freshness, where freshness is 1.0 if updated <24h, 0.7 if <7d, 0.4 otherwise). For multi-outcome (winner-take-all) topics the headline is the current leader's price — disjoint outcomes are never arithmetically averaged. Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours.

## SF Signal

- SF Index, regime, and 30d Brier calibration are computed separately and surfaced at https://simplefunctions.dev/admin/calibration.
- No SimpleFunctions index / regime / calibration signal is bound to this topic yet — the headline above is market-derived only.

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*Last verified: 2026-07-13T04:20:50.818Z*

By SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev/

Cite as: "4% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, July 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/bigbrotherrank
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Barrett%20Pfeiffer%20finish%20in%202%20place%20in%20Big%20Brother%20Season%2028
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev