85% — Will any member of Trump's Cabinet leave before Aug 2026
Leader: Before Jan 2027 at 85% · Kalshi 85% · 8 contracts · $5K volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-05-09 07:21:41 UTC

Tracks the leading outcome in a winner-take-all prediction market set with 8 outcomes.

Contracts:
- Will any member of Trump's Cabinet leave before Jan 2027?: Before Jan 2027 — 85¢ Kalshi $4K (weight 76%)
- Will any member of Trump's Cabinet leave before Dec 2026?: Before Dec 2026 — 78¢ Kalshi $475 (weight 10%)
- Will any member of Trump's Cabinet leave before Nov 2026?: Before Nov 2026 — 62¢ Kalshi $304 (weight 6%)
- Will any member of Trump's Cabinet leave before Oct 2026?: Before Oct 2026 — 52¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Will any member of Trump's Cabinet leave before Sep 2026?: Before Sep 2026 — 42¢ Kalshi $236 (weight 5%)
- Will any member of Trump's Cabinet leave before Aug 2026?: Before Aug 2026 — 30¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Will any member of Trump's Cabinet leave before Jul 2026?: Before Jul 2026 — 21¢ Kalshi $101 (weight 2%)
- Will any member of Trump's Cabinet leave before Jun 2026?: Before Jun 2026 — 10¢ Kalshi $15 (weight 0%)

Cite as: "85% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/cableave
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20any%20member%20of%20Trump's%20Cabinet%20leave%20before%20Aug%202026
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev