24% — CD Cuenca vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro - More Markets: CA San Lorenzo de Almagro (-1.5)
Polymarket 24% · 9 contracts · $0 volume · low confidence
Updated 2026-05-03 16:52:22 UTC

Why this matters:
This market reflects a 27% probability that CA San Lorenzo de Almagro will win by 1.5 or more goals against CD Cuenca. The probability is driven by San Lorenzo's typical league standing and form relative to Cuenca's defensive or offensive metrics. Key factors affecting this level include San Lorenzo's recent performance trajectory, Cuenca's home-field advantage, head-to-head historical matchups, and current squad availability. The match outcome will be determined on the scheduled game date, which resolves all uncertainty. The cross-venue consistency (1 percentage point gap) suggests relatively stable market pricing across major platforms, though minimal trading volume in related contracts indicates limited recent interest in this specific fixture.

Key factors:
- San Lorenzo's league position and recent win/loss record versus Cuenca's defensive record and goals conceded
- Cuenca's home-field advantage and historical performance in this fixture (if applicable)
- Squad availability, injuries, or suspensions affecting either team's attacking or defensive capacity
- The match's geographic and travel context (altitude, distance) if playing in Ecuador
- Relative league strength and historical scoring patterns between the two teams' respective competitions

Contracts:
- CD Cuenca vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro - More Markets: CD Cuenca (-2.5) — 12¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 11%)
- CD Cuenca vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro - More Markets: CA San Lorenzo de Almagro (-2.5) — 11¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 11%)
- CD Cuenca vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro - More Markets: CA San Lorenzo de Almagro (-1.5) — 11¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 11%)
- CD Cuenca vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro - More Markets: O/U 2.5 — 36¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 11%)
- CD Cuenca vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro - More Markets: CD Cuenca (-1.5) — 15¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 11%)
- CD Cuenca vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro - More Markets: O/U 3.5 — 16¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 11%)
- CD Cuenca vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro - More Markets: O/U 1.5 — 63¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 11%)
- CD Cuenca vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro - More Markets: O/U 4.5 — 6¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 11%)
- ... and 1 more

Cite as: "24% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/cd-cuenca-vs-ca-san-lorenzo-de-almagro-more-markets-ca-san
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=CD%20Cuenca%20vs.%20CA%20San%20Lorenzo%20de%20Almagro%20-%20More%20Markets%3A%20CA%20San%20Lorenzo%20de%20Almagro%20(-1.5)
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev