22% — CD San Antonio Bulo Bulo vs. CDT Real Oruro - More Markets: CDT Real Oruro (-2.5)
Kalshi 22% · Polymarket 22% · 2 contracts · $1.5M volume · high confidence
Updated 2026-06-08 05:31:05 UTC

Contracts:
- Will the San Antonio win the 2026 Pro Basketball Finals?: San Antonio — 22¢ Kalshi $1.1M (weight 76%)
- 2026 NBA Champion: San Antonio Spurs — 22¢ Polymarket $352K (weight 24%)

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## Methodology

SimpleFunctions aggregates live YES-side prices from Kalshi and Polymarket contracts bound to this question. For binary topics the headline is the liquidity-weighted mid-price (weight = log(1 + 24h volume) × freshness, where freshness is 1.0 if updated <24h, 0.7 if <7d, 0.4 otherwise). For multi-outcome (winner-take-all) topics the headline is the current leader's price — disjoint outcomes are never arithmetically averaged. Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours.

## SF Signal

- SF Index, regime, and 30d Brier calibration are computed separately and surfaced at https://simplefunctions.dev/admin/calibration.
- No SimpleFunctions index / regime / calibration signal is bound to this topic yet — the headline above is market-derived only.

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*Last verified: 2026-06-08T05:20:11.193Z*

By SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev/

Cite as: "22% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, June 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/cd-san-antonio-bulo-bulo-vs-cdt-real-oruro-more-markets-cdt
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=CD%20San%20Antonio%20Bulo%20Bulo%20vs.%20CDT%20Real%20Oruro%20-%20More%20Markets%3A%20CDT%20Real%20Oruro%20(-2.5)
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev