67% — CD Tolima vs. Club Nacional de Football - More Markets
Leader: O/U 1.5 at 67% · Polymarket 67% · 9 contracts · $618 volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-05-09 05:58:39 UTC

Tracks the leading outcome in a winner-take-all prediction market set with 9 outcomes.

Why this matters:
This 33% probability reflects market expectations that Club Nacional de Football will win or draw against CD Tolima in an upcoming Copa Libertadores match. The current odds suggest CD Tolima is favored, with contracts pricing the Colombian side at 45 cents. The probability is shaped by team form, head-to-head records, home-field advantage, and recent injury status. Resolution depends on the match outcome scheduled for early May 2026. With zero 24-hour volume across most contracts, liquidity remains minimal, meaning quoted prices may not reflect true conviction from active traders. The spread between CD Tolima (45¢) and Nacional (26¢) with draw probability unpriced separately suggests moderate confidence in a Tolima victory rather than overwhelming certainty.

Key factors:
- CD Tolima's home-field advantage at El Murillo (Ibagué) and recent domestic league form
- Club Nacional's away-match performance record and squad availability heading into the fixture
- Historical head-to-head results between the two sides in continental competition
- Market concentration risk: zero 24-hour volume indicates low liquidity and potentially stale pricing
- Match scheduling and exact date confirmation, as Copa Libertadores fixtures can shift due to security or weather concerns

Contracts:
- CD Tolima vs. Club Nacional de Football - More Markets: O/U 1.5 — 67¢ Polymarket $99 (weight 16%)
- CD Tolima vs. Club Nacional de Football - More Markets: Both Teams to Score — 47¢ Polymarket $38 (weight 6%)
- CD Tolima vs. Club Nacional de Football - More Markets: O/U 2.5 — 40¢ Polymarket $332 (weight 54%)
- CD Tolima vs. Club Nacional de Football - More Markets: CD Tolima (-1.5) — 22¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 0%)
- CD Tolima vs. Club Nacional de Football - More Markets: O/U 3.5 — 20¢ Polymarket $63 (weight 10%)
- CD Tolima vs. Club Nacional de Football - More Markets: O/U 4.5 — 8¢ Polymarket $18 (weight 3%)
- CD Tolima vs. Club Nacional de Football - More Markets: Club Nacional de Football (-1.5) — 8¢ Polymarket $11 (weight 2%)
- CD Tolima vs. Club Nacional de Football - More Markets: CD Tolima (-2.5) — 6¢ Polymarket $53 (weight 9%)
- ... and 1 more

Cite as: "67% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/cd-tolima-vs-club-nacional-de-football-more-markets
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=CD%20Tolima%20vs.%20Club%20Nacional%20de%20Football%20-%20More%20Markets
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev