65% — Ceará SC vs. AC Goianiense - More Markets
Leader: O/U 1.5 at 65% · Polymarket 65% · 9 contracts · $0 volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-05-09 04:22:36 UTC

Tracks the leading outcome in a winner-take-all prediction market set with 9 outcomes.

Why this matters:
The 45% probability indicates that traders currently assess a moderate-to-better-than-even likelihood that both Ceará SC and AC Goianiense will score in their upcoming match. This outcome sits as the leading contract despite minimal recent trading volume across all three related markets. The probability reflects general expectations about offensive output from both sides, though sparse liquidity suggests limited conviction among traders. Factors like team form, defensive vulnerabilities, and recent head-to-head scoring patterns would typically influence such assessments. Without recent trading activity or clear market signals, the 45% represents a relatively static snapshot rather than dynamic price discovery. Resolution will occur when the match concludes and actual goal distribution becomes known.

Key factors:
- Both Teams to Score contract trades at 45¢ while alternative outcomes (Ceará -2.5 at 15¢ and Ceará -1.5 at 23¢) sum to 38¢, indicating asymmetric market expectations
- Zero 24-hour trading volume across all three contracts suggests low market engagement and potentially stale pricing
- The 45% probability reflects traders believe both teams are more likely to score than not, but the gap from 50% indicates skepticism about balanced offensive threat
- Ceará SC (-1.5) contract pricing at 23¢ implies roughly 23% probability of a two-goal Ceará victory, constraining how high both-teams-to-score can realistically reach
- Match outcome depends on specific team lineups, recent injury status, and whether either side prioritizes defensive setup over attacking intensity

Contracts:
- Ceará SC vs. AC Goianiense - More Markets: O/U 1.5 — 65¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 11%)
- Ceará SC vs. AC Goianiense - More Markets: Both Teams to Score — 45¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 11%)
- Ceará SC vs. AC Goianiense - More Markets: O/U 2.5 — 37¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 11%)
- Ceará SC vs. AC Goianiense - More Markets: Ceará SC (-1.5) — 23¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 11%)
- Ceará SC vs. AC Goianiense - More Markets: O/U 3.5 — 18¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 11%)
- Ceará SC vs. AC Goianiense - More Markets: Ceará SC (-2.5) — 9¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 11%)
- Ceará SC vs. AC Goianiense - More Markets: O/U 4.5 — 8¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 11%)
- Ceará SC vs. AC Goianiense - More Markets: AC Goianiense (-1.5) — 7¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 11%)
- ... and 1 more

Cite as: "65% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/cear-sc-vs-ac-goianiense-more-markets
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Cear%C3%A1%20SC%20vs.%20AC%20Goianiense%20-%20More%20Markets
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev