69% — Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Henan FC - More Markets
Leader: O/U 1.5 at 69% · Polymarket 69% · 9 contracts · $1K volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-05-09 06:47:40 UTC

Tracks the leading outcome in a winner-take-all prediction market set with 9 outcomes.

Why this matters:
This 32% probability reflects market estimates that Chongqing Tonglianglong FC will win their Chinese Super League match against Henan FC. The probability sits in the lower-third range, suggesting bookmakers and traders view Henan as the slight favorite or expect a draw as the more likely outcome. Movement in this probability would depend on team form leading into the match—injuries to key players, recent performance streaks, or changes in head-to-head records could shift expectations. The match resolution itself will determine the outcome, though the exact date is not specified in available data. Liquidity across venues is moderate but concentrated, with most trading activity on Polymarket's direct head-to-head contract versus the broader "More Markets" pool.

Key factors:
- Chongqing's recent win-loss-draw record compared to Henan's form in the current season
- Head-to-head historical performance between these two clubs in Chinese Super League play
- Injury reports or roster changes for either squad in the days before the match
- Kalshi and Polymarket probability divergence of 1 percentage point suggests minimal disagreement between major venues
- Total contract volume of $327–$287 across top venues indicates moderate but not exceptional market interest in this fixture

Contracts:
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Henan FC - More Markets: O/U 1.5 — 69¢ Polymarket $236 (weight 23%)
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Henan FC - More Markets: Both Teams to Score — 51¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 0%)
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Henan FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5 — 42¢ Polymarket $290 (weight 28%)
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Henan FC - More Markets: O/U 3.5 — 22¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 0%)
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Henan FC - More Markets: Henan FC (-1.5) — 14¢ Polymarket $57 (weight 6%)
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Henan FC - More Markets: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (-1.5) — 14¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 0%)
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Henan FC - More Markets: O/U 4.5 — 9¢ Polymarket $444 (weight 43%)
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Henan FC - More Markets: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (-2.5) — 4¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 0%)
- ... and 1 more

Cite as: "69% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/chongqing-tonglianglong-fc-vs-henan-fc-more-markets
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Chongqing%20Tonglianglong%20FC%20vs.%20Henan%20FC%20-%20More%20Markets
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev