75% — Club Independiente Petrolero vs. Caracas FC - More Markets
Leader: O/U 1.5 at 75% · Polymarket 75% · 9 contracts · $21 volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-05-09 10:42:12 UTC

Tracks the leading outcome in a winner-take-all prediction market set with 9 outcomes.

Why this matters:
This 28% probability reflects market expectations for a specific outcome in an upcoming Club Independiente Petrolero versus Caracas FC match. The related contracts suggest relatively low scoring is priced in, with over 1.5 goals trading at 76 cents while over 2.5 goals sits at 50 cents, indicating uncertainty between low-scoring and moderate-scoring scenarios. The extremely low volume across all contracts ($0 24h) and thin pricing on directional spreads—particularly Petrolero at -2.5 (12 cents)—suggest limited market participation and potentially outdated odds. Resolution depends on the match outcome itself, though without a specified date in available data, the timing remains unclear. Factors like recent team form, head-to-head history, and injury status would typically influence how these probabilities reallocate as match day approaches.

Key factors:
- All contracts show zero 24-hour trading volume, indicating minimal recent market activity and potentially stale price discovery
- Over 1.5 goals is priced significantly higher (76%) than over 2.5 goals (50%), suggesting markets expect a low-to-moderate scoring outcome rather than a high-scoring match
- Club Independiente Petrolero spread at 12 cents versus Caracas FC at 20 cents indicates very little confidence in either team winning decisively
- Both teams to score contract at 55% reflects genuine uncertainty about whether both offenses will find the net
- The disparity between different goal-total markets suggests potential arbitrage opportunities if match conditions or team news changes materially

Contracts:
- Club Independiente Petrolero vs. Caracas FC - More Markets: O/U 1.5 — 75¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 0%)
- Club Independiente Petrolero vs. Caracas FC - More Markets: Both Teams to Score — 56¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 0%)
- Club Independiente Petrolero vs. Caracas FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5 — 51¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 0%)
- Club Independiente Petrolero vs. Caracas FC - More Markets: O/U 3.5 — 29¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 0%)
- Club Independiente Petrolero vs. Caracas FC - More Markets: Club Independiente Petrolero (-1.5) — 20¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 0%)
- Club Independiente Petrolero vs. Caracas FC - More Markets: O/U 4.5 — 13¢ Polymarket $21 (weight 100%)
- Club Independiente Petrolero vs. Caracas FC - More Markets: Caracas FC (-1.5) — 13¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 0%)
- Club Independiente Petrolero vs. Caracas FC - More Markets: Club Independiente Petrolero (-2.5) — 13¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 0%)
- ... and 1 more

Cite as: "75% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/club-independiente-petrolero-vs-caracas-fc-more-markets
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Club%20Independiente%20Petrolero%20vs.%20Caracas%20FC%20-%20More%20Markets
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev