54% — Clube do Remo vs. SE Palmeiras
Leader: SE Palmeiras at 54% · Polymarket 54% · 3 contracts · $356 volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-05-09 04:22:44 UTC

Tracks the leading outcome in a winner-take-all prediction market set with 3 outcomes.

Why this matters:
This probability reflects market expectations that a match between Clube do Remo and SE Palmeiras will end in a draw at 25%, with a Clube do Remo victory priced at 21%. The draw outcome is currently the most-favored result. Factors influencing these prices include the relative strength of both teams, their recent form, and historical head-to-head performance. The match itself will be the primary catalyst that resolves this market, determining whether the draw odds were justified or whether one side outperformed expectations. Lower trading volume on the draw contract suggests limited recent price movement or conviction in either direction.

Key factors:
- Draw is priced as most likely outcome (25¢) despite draw markets often attracting less liquidity than winner markets
- Clube do Remo win probability (21¢) sits close to but notably below the draw, indicating modest confidence in either team to secure three points
- The $52 24-hour volume on Clube do Remo contract versus $0 on draw contract shows trading activity concentrated on one side
- Historical matchup records, current league standings, and recent form of both teams would materially affect draw probability
- Match kickoff time and date remain key unknowns that could influence final price before contract settlement

Contracts:
- Clube do Remo vs. SE Palmeiras: SE Palmeiras — 54¢ Polymarket $277 (weight 78%)
- Clube do Remo vs. SE Palmeiras: Draw (Clube do Remo vs. SE Palmeiras) — 26¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 0%)
- Clube do Remo vs. SE Palmeiras: Clube do Remo — 21¢ Polymarket $79 (weight 22%)

Cite as: "54% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/clube-do-remo-vs-se-palmeiras
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Clube%20do%20Remo%20vs.%20SE%20Palmeiras
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev