49% — Colorado Rapids SC vs. St. Louis City SC
Leader: Colorado Rapids SC at 49% · Polymarket 49% · 3 contracts · $869 volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-05-09 04:22:12 UTC

Tracks the leading outcome in a winner-take-all prediction market set with 3 outcomes.

Why this matters:
This probability reflects market expectations that Colorado Rapids will defeat St. Louis City in their upcoming match. The Rapids are favored at 46%, while St. Louis City is valued at 28%, with draws priced at 25%. Historically recent form, home-field advantage, injury status, and head-to-head records typically influence MLS match outcomes. The fixture itself will determine the result definitively, resolving all uncertainty around tactical execution and in-game performance. Currently, Colorado holds a marginal edge in the prediction market, though the three-way outcome structure means no single result is heavily favored. The modest volume and tight pricing suggest limited market participation at this stage.

Key factors:
- Colorado Rapids' recent league position and win-loss record relative to St. Louis City's current standings
- Home vs. away designation and how venue advantage historically impacts outcomes between these two teams
- Head-to-head matchup history between Colorado and St. Louis, including goals scored and defensive records in prior meetings
- Key player availability, injuries, or suspensions that affect either team's lineup depth or tactical options
- Pre-match momentum indicators such as streaks, goals conceded/scored in the last 5 games, and team discipline metrics

Contracts:
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. St. Louis City SC: Colorado Rapids SC — 49¢ Polymarket $425 (weight 49%)
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. St. Louis City SC: St. Louis City SC — 27¢ Polymarket $279 (weight 32%)
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. St. Louis City SC: Draw (Colorado Rapids SC vs. St. Louis City SC) — 25¢ Polymarket $165 (weight 19%)

Cite as: "49% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/colorado-rapids-sc-vs-st-louis-city-sc
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Colorado%20Rapids%20SC%20vs.%20St.%20Louis%20City%20SC
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev