31% — CS Cienciano vs. CD Comerciantes Unidos - More Markets: CD Comerciantes Unidos (-1.5)
Polymarket 31% · 10 contracts · $20K volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-05-09 05:11:31 UTC

Why this matters:
A 31% probability indicates that CD Comerciantes Unidos is favored to lose by more than 1.5 goals to CS Cienciano in their upcoming match. This reflects expectations that Cienciano will win by a decisive margin. The current level reflects the relative strength of the two teams in Peru's football league and recent form. The main factor driving this probability is the teams' recent performance records and head-to-head history. The match itself—scheduled for a specific date in the 2026 season—is the primary catalyst that will resolve this market, as the final score will determine whether Comerciantes Unidos covers the 1.5-goal spread. Changes in team injuries, lineup changes, or shifts in league standings before kickoff could move this probability materially.

Key factors:
- CS Cienciano's recent win-loss record and goal differential compared to CD Comerciantes Unidos
- Head-to-head historical results between the two teams, including venue (home/away) performance
- Current league standings and points differential that indicate relative competitive strength
- Injury reports or lineup changes for either team announced before match day
- Weather conditions or other field factors that could affect play style and scoring patterns

Contracts:
- Academia Puerto Cabello vs. CS Cienciano - More Markets: O/U 2.5 — 44¢ Polymarket $19K (weight 92%)
- Academia Puerto Cabello vs. CS Cienciano - More Markets: Academia Puerto Cabello (-1.5) — 24¢ Polymarket $695 (weight 3%)
- Kawasaki Frontale vs. Tōkyō Verdy - More Markets: Tōkyō Verdy (-1.5) — 9¢ Polymarket $384 (weight 2%)
- Academia Puerto Cabello vs. CS Cienciano - More Markets: O/U 1.5 — 72¢ Polymarket $191 (weight 1%)
- Academia Puerto Cabello vs. CS Cienciano - More Markets: O/U 4.5 — 11¢ Polymarket $135 (weight 1%)
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5 — 53¢ Polymarket $82 (weight 0%)
- Academia Puerto Cabello vs. CS Cienciano - More Markets: O/U 3.5 — 24¢ Polymarket $59 (weight 0%)
- Academia Puerto Cabello vs. CS Cienciano - More Markets: Both Teams to Score — 53¢ Polymarket $21 (weight 0%)
- ... and 2 more

Cite as: "31% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/cs-cienciano-vs-cd-comerciantes-unidos-more-markets-cd
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=CS%20Cienciano%20vs.%20CD%20Comerciantes%20Unidos%20-%20More%20Markets%3A%20CD%20Comerciantes%20Unidos%20(-1.5)
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev