13% — Will ALKA win map 2 in the ALKA vs. 9z match
Kalshi 13% · 20 contracts · $215 volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-06-08 05:22:57 UTC

Contracts:
- Will Young Ninjas win map 1 in the Young Ninjas vs. G2 Ares match?: Young Ninjas — 6¢ Kalshi $120 (weight 56%)
- Will Misa Esports win map 2 in the Misa Esports vs. Lavked match?: Misa Esports — 29¢ Kalshi $72 (weight 33%)
- Will G2 Ares win map 1 in the Young Ninjas vs. G2 Ares match?: G2 Ares — 44¢ Kalshi $15 (weight 7%)
- Will G2 Ares win map 2 in the Young Ninjas vs. G2 Ares match?: G2 Ares — 44¢ Kalshi $7 (weight 3%)
- Will Lavked win map 2 in the Misa Esports vs. Lavked match?: Lavked — 6¢ Kalshi $1 (weight 0%)
- Will Young Ninjas win map 2 in the Young Ninjas vs. G2 Ares match?: Young Ninjas — 14¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Will Masked Regime win map 2 in the Masked Regime vs. Ground Zero match?: Masked Regime — 5¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Will Ground Zero win map 2 in the Masked Regime vs. Ground Zero match?: Ground Zero — 5¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- ... and 12 more

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## Methodology

SimpleFunctions aggregates live YES-side prices from Kalshi and Polymarket contracts bound to this question. For binary topics the headline is the liquidity-weighted mid-price (weight = log(1 + 24h volume) × freshness, where freshness is 1.0 if updated <24h, 0.7 if <7d, 0.4 otherwise). For multi-outcome (winner-take-all) topics the headline is the current leader's price — disjoint outcomes are never arithmetically averaged. Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours.

## SF Signal

- SF Index, regime, and 30d Brier calibration are computed separately and surfaced at https://simplefunctions.dev/admin/calibration.
- No SimpleFunctions index / regime / calibration signal is bound to this topic yet — the headline above is market-derived only.

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*Last verified: 2026-06-08T05:20:09.703Z*

By SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev/

Cite as: "13% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, June 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/cs2map
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20ALKA%20win%20map%202%20in%20the%20ALKA%20vs.%209z%20match
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev