97% — "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office: 70-80m
Polymarket 97% · 1 contracts · $44K volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-05-09 04:22:38 UTC

Why this matters:
This probability reflects market expectations that 'The Devil Wears Prada 2' will earn between $70-80 million during its opening weekend in the U.S. The 96% probability suggests strong consensus around this specific range. The high confidence is likely driven by the film's established franchise recognition, the return of lead actor Meryl Streep, and comparable box office performance of recent legacy sequels aimed at adult audiences. However, market participants are slightly more bullish on a $80-90 million opening, as evidenced by the $80-90m contract trading at 7¢ versus 93¢ for the $70-80m range, indicating marginal uncertainty about whether the film exceeds the upper bound. The opening weekend will resolve on the film's release date, after which actual box office figures from major tracking services will determine the outcome. Key variables include final pre-release marketing impact, audience reception metrics, and competitive releases during the same period.

Key factors:
- The $80-90m contract is trading at 7 cents while the $70-80m contract is at 93 cents, indicating the market assigns 7% probability to a stronger opening above $80m
- Comparable recent adult-skewing sequels and franchise reboots typically open in the $50-90m range, providing historical benchmarks
- The film's Rotten Tomatoes score expectations (97% for 'above 75') suggest anticipated critical reception could influence box office performance
- Opening weekend box office will be definitively resolved by tracking data released by studios and box office reporting services within 2-3 days of release
- Competition from other wide releases during the same weekend period and broader market conditions could materially shift audience attendance patterns

Contracts:
- "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office: 70-80m — 97¢ Polymarket $44K (weight 100%)

Cite as: "97% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/devil-wears-prada-2-opening-weekend-box-office-7080m
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=%22The%20Devil%20Wears%20Prada%202%22%20Opening%20Weekend%20Box%20Office%3A%2070-80m
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev