92% — Will Domino's Pizza Inc report Above 1% us stores same store sales growth in Q2 2026 Leader: Above 7220 at 92% · Kalshi 92% · 15 contracts · $8K volume · medium confidence Updated 2026-07-13 01:46:09 UTC Tracks the leading outcome in a winner-take-all prediction market set with 15 outcomes. Why this matters: This probability reflects traders' assessment that Domino's US same-store sales will grow above 1% in the second quarter of 2026. Same-store sales growth is a core metric of restaurant performance, indicating whether existing locations are generating more revenue year-over-year after accounting for inflation and new openings. Current pricing of 68 cents on Kalshi (68% implied probability) suggests traders view the bar of 1% growth as moderately achievable but not certain. The outcome depends on consumer spending patterns, competitive pricing in the QSR sector, and Domino's pricing strategies during the quarter. Domino's will report Q2 results in late July 2026, resolving this contract. Factors traders likely weigh include labor cost pressures, commodity inflation trends, and whether promotional activity supports traffic without eroding margins. Key factors: - Domino's Q2 2026 same-store sales growth rate relative to 1% threshold will be reported in company earnings, typically late July 2026 - Year-over-year same-store sales comparisons depend on Q2 2025 baseline performance and whether 2026 consumer spending holds steady or contracts - Rising labor costs and ingredient prices in 2026 could pressure margins, potentially forcing pricing actions that affect traffic and same-store sales growth - Competitive QSR pricing and promotional intensity during April-June 2026 will influence whether Domino's achieves volume growth above inflation - The contract structure shows 68-cent pricing for the 1% threshold but only 8-17 cents for higher store counts, suggesting traders see growth above 1% as uncertain relative to store expansion Contracts: - Will Domino's Pizza Inc report Above 7220 total us stores in Q2 2026?: Above 7220 — 92¢ Kalshi $1K (weight 12%) - Will Domino's Pizza Inc report Above 7225 total us stores in Q2 2026?: Above 7225 — 89¢ Kalshi $995 (weight 12%) - Will Domino's Pizza Inc report Above 7230 total us stores in Q2 2026?: Above 7230 — 78¢ Kalshi $604 (weight 7%) - Will Domino's Pizza Inc report Above 7235 total us stores in Q2 2026?: Above 7235 — 60¢ Kalshi $217 (weight 3%) - Will Domino's Pizza Inc report Above 1% us stores same store sales growth in Q2 2026?: Above 1% — 46¢ Kalshi $491 (weight 6%) - Will Domino's Pizza Inc report Above 7240 total us stores in Q2 2026?: Above 7240 — 37¢ Kalshi $220 (weight 3%) - Will Domino's Pizza Inc report Above 1.5% us stores same store sales growth in Q2 2026?: Above 1.5% — 34¢ Kalshi $219 (weight 3%) - Will Domino's Pizza Inc report Above 7245 total us stores in Q2 2026?: Above 7245 — 19¢ Kalshi $419 (weight 5%) - ... and 7 more --- ## Methodology SimpleFunctions aggregates live YES-side prices from Kalshi and Polymarket contracts bound to this question. For binary topics the headline is the liquidity-weighted mid-price (weight = log(1 + 24h volume) × freshness, where freshness is 1.0 if updated <24h, 0.7 if <7d, 0.4 otherwise). For multi-outcome (winner-take-all) topics the headline is the current leader's price — disjoint outcomes are never arithmetically averaged. Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours. ## SF Signal - SF Index, regime, and 30d Brier calibration are computed separately and surfaced at https://simplefunctions.dev/admin/calibration. - No SimpleFunctions index / regime / calibration signal is bound to this topic yet — the headline above is market-derived only. --- *Last verified: 2026-07-13T01:20:49.239Z* By SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev/ Cite as: "92% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, July 2026)" Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/dpz Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Domino's%20Pizza%20Inc%20report%20Above%201%25%20us%20stores%20same%20store%20sales%20growth%20in%20Q2%202026 Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev