31% — What will Dr. Mehmet Oz say during White House Press Briefing
Leader: Democrat at 31% · Kalshi 31% · 2 contracts · $9K volume · low confidence
Updated 2026-06-08 07:01:52 UTC

Tracks the leading outcome in a winner-take-all prediction market set with 2 outcomes.

Contracts:
- What will Dr. Mehmet Oz say during White House Press Briefing?: Democrat — 31¢ Kalshi $1K (weight 11%)
- What will Dr. Mehmet Oz say during White House Press Briefing?: Trump (5+ times) — 12¢ Kalshi $8K (weight 89%)

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## Methodology

SimpleFunctions aggregates live YES-side prices from Kalshi and Polymarket contracts bound to this question. For binary topics the headline is the liquidity-weighted mid-price (weight = log(1 + 24h volume) × freshness, where freshness is 1.0 if updated <24h, 0.7 if <7d, 0.4 otherwise). For multi-outcome (winner-take-all) topics the headline is the current leader's price — disjoint outcomes are never arithmetically averaged. Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours.

## SF Signal

- SF Index, regime, and 30d Brier calibration are computed separately and surfaced at https://simplefunctions.dev/admin/calibration.
- No SimpleFunctions index / regime / calibration signal is bound to this topic yet — the headline above is market-derived only.

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*Last verified: 2026-06-03T19:20:13.193Z*

By SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev/

Cite as: "31% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, June 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/drozmention
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=What%20will%20Dr.%20Mehmet%20Oz%20say%20during%20White%20House%20Press%20Briefing
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev