16% — Will Madison Chock perform as an official contestant in Dancing with the Stars Season 35
Kalshi 16% · 19 contracts · $640 volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-05-09 04:21:01 UTC

Why this matters:
This market estimates a 6% chance that Madison Chock, a professional ice dancer, will compete as a contestant on Dancing with the Stars Season 35. The probability reflects uncertainty about whether ABC will cast her in the upcoming season. Key factors include whether producers select athletes from winter sports for the casting roster, Madison Chock's availability and interest in participating, and how the show's typical contestant pool is structured. The casting announcement—expected before the season's premiere—would definitively resolve this question. Until then, the low probability suggests market participants view her selection as unlikely relative to other potential contestants, though not impossible given the show's occasional recruitment of Olympic or professional athletes.

Key factors:
- Madison Chock's professional ice dancing career and Olympic visibility may make her appealing to producers seeking established athletes, but no public indication exists that she has been approached or expressed interest
- Dancing with the Stars Season 35 casting announcements typically occur 1-3 months before the premiere, which would provide the primary catalyst for resolution
- Comparable probability levels for other potential contestants (Amber Glenn 6%, Bow Wow 6%, Cam Newton 6%) suggest this represents a baseline threshold for speculative or lower-likelihood casting choices
- The show's historical tendency to cast celebrities with existing fan bases or media profiles rather than purely athletic credentials may work against selection of niche sports figures
- Official contestant rosters are publicly announced by ABC and major entertainment outlets, making this a fully resolvable binary event

Contracts:
- Will Jackson Olson perform as an official contestant in Dancing with the Stars Season 35?: Jackson Olson — 46¢ Kalshi $640 (weight 100%)
- Will Amber Glenn perform as an official contestant in Dancing with the Stars Season 35?: Amber Glenn — 30¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Will Madison Chock perform as an official contestant in Dancing with the Stars Season 35?: Madison Chock — 12¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Will Evan Bates perform as an official contestant in Dancing with the Stars Season 35?: Evan Bates — 8¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Will Ilia Malinin perform as an official contestant in Dancing with the Stars Season 35?: Ilia Malinin — 28¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Will Mikaela Shiffrin perform as an official contestant in Dancing with the Stars Season 35?: Mikaela Shiffrin — 12¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Will Chloe Kim perform as an official contestant in Dancing with the Stars Season 35?: Chloe Kim — 4¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Will Jordan Stolz perform as an official contestant in Dancing with the Stars Season 35?: Jordan Stolz — 4¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- ... and 11 more

Cite as: "16% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/dwtscast
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Madison%20Chock%20perform%20as%20an%20official%20contestant%20in%20Dancing%20with%20the%20Stars%20Season%2035
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev