12% — Will Amber Glenn finish 3rd Place on Dancing with the Stars Season 35
Kalshi 12% · 14 contracts · $12K volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-09-24 03:48:16 UTC

Why this matters:
This represents the likelihood that Amber Glenn finishes in exactly third place on Dancing with the Stars Season 35. The 3% probability reflects that third-place finishes are relatively rare outcomes in a competition with multiple possible finishing positions, and Amber Glenn competes against other cast members for the top spots. The resolution will be determined by the final results of the season's elimination voting and judge scores, which typically concludes in late November or early December 2026. Key factors affecting this probability include Glenn's performance consistency throughout the season, audience voting patterns, judge scoring tendencies, the overall skill distribution among other contestants, and whether any elimination shocks reshape the expected top-three finishers.

Key factors:
- Amber Glenn's dance skill level and performance trajectory relative to other Season 35 contestants
- Historical Dancing with the Stars voting patterns and whether they correlate with judge scores or audience preference
- The typical placement distribution for celebrities in third place versus other finishing positions across recent DWTS seasons
- Potential early eliminations or unexpected departures that would alter the pool of likely finalists
- Season 35 finale date and final elimination results scheduled for approximately November-December 2026

Contracts:
- Will Ezra Frech finish 3rd Place on Dancing with the Stars Season 35?: Ezra Frech — 12¢ Kalshi $2K (weight 20%)
- Will Amber Glenn finish 2nd Place on Dancing with the Stars Season 35?: Amber Glenn — 7¢ Kalshi $2K (weight 15%)
- Will Harry Shum Jr. finish 2nd Place on Dancing with the Stars Season 35?: Harry Shum Jr. — 16¢ Kalshi $1K (weight 10%)
- Will Ezra Frech finish 2nd Place on Dancing with the Stars Season 35?: Ezra Frech — 12¢ Kalshi $1K (weight 9%)
- Will Maura Higgins finish 2nd Place on Dancing with the Stars Season 35?: Maura Higgins — 22¢ Kalshi $1K (weight 9%)
- Will Maura Higgins finish 3rd Place on Dancing with the Stars Season 35?: Maura Higgins — 15¢ Kalshi $1K (weight 9%)
- Will Jackson Olson finish 3rd Place on Dancing with the Stars Season 35?: Jackson Olson — 7¢ Kalshi $1K (weight 8%)
- Will Julia Stiles finish 2nd Place on Dancing with the Stars Season 35?: Julia Stiles — 7¢ Kalshi $562 (weight 5%)
- ... and 6 more

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## Methodology

SimpleFunctions aggregates live YES-side prices from Kalshi and Polymarket contracts bound to this question. For binary topics the headline is the liquidity-weighted mid-price (weight = log(1 + 24h volume) × freshness, where freshness is 1.0 if updated <24h, 0.7 if <7d, 0.4 otherwise). For multi-outcome (winner-take-all) topics the headline is the current leader's price — disjoint outcomes are never arithmetically averaged. Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours.

## SF Signal

- SF Index, regime, and 30d Brier calibration are computed separately and surfaced at https://simplefunctions.dev/admin/calibration.
- No SimpleFunctions index / regime / calibration signal is bound to this topic yet — the headline above is market-derived only.

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*Last verified: 2026-09-24T03:20:51.467Z*

By SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev/

Cite as: "12% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, September 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/dwtsrank
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Amber%20Glenn%20finish%203rd%20Place%20on%20Dancing%20with%20the%20Stars%20Season%2035
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev