96% — What will Dick’s Sporting Goods, Inc. say during their next earnings call
Leader: Foot Locker at 96% · Kalshi 96% · 13 contracts · $4K volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-08-24 15:13:11 UTC

Tracks the leading outcome in a winner-take-all prediction market set with 13 outcomes.

Why this matters:
This probability represents market participants' collective assessment that Dick's Sporting Goods will mention Foot Locker during their next earnings call. The leading contract trades at 76 cents, suggesting roughly three-to-one odds in its favor compared to alternatives. The current level reflects expectations about Dick's strategic initiatives and retail partnerships. The probability could shift based on actual earnings guidance, merger or acquisition announcements, or strategic pivots disclosed in the call. Dick's next scheduled earnings release will serve as the primary catalyst that resolves this market. Factors like competitive positioning in athletic retail, potential business combinations, and management commentary on specific brands influence which outcome materializes.

Key factors:
- Dick's current ownership stake, partnerships, or strategic relationship with Foot Locker versus competing retail formats
- Historical frequency of management discussing specific brands or banners on previous earnings calls
- Recent retail consolidation activity or announced deals in the athletic apparel and footwear sector
- Calendar date of Dick's next scheduled earnings call and typical quarterly reporting timeline
- Volume and pricing disparity across contracts suggests moderate market certainty but meaningful disagreement on runner-up outcomes

Contracts:
- What will Dick’s Sporting Goods, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Foot Locker — 96¢ Kalshi $116 (weight 3%)
- What will Dick’s Sporting Goods, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: House of Sport — 96¢ Kalshi $32 (weight 1%)
- What will Dick’s Sporting Goods, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Fast Break — 92¢ Kalshi $386 (weight 9%)
- What will Dick’s Sporting Goods, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Ticket — 92¢ Kalshi $102 (weight 2%)
- What will Dick’s Sporting Goods, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Vertical Brand — 90¢ Kalshi $127 (weight 3%)
- What will Dick’s Sporting Goods, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Omnichannel — 89¢ Kalshi $953 (weight 22%)
- What will Dick’s Sporting Goods, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: World Cup — 88¢ Kalshi $884 (weight 21%)
- What will Dick’s Sporting Goods, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Golf Galaxy — 81¢ Kalshi $49 (weight 1%)
- ... and 5 more

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## Methodology

SimpleFunctions aggregates live YES-side prices from Kalshi and Polymarket contracts bound to this question. For binary topics the headline is the liquidity-weighted mid-price (weight = log(1 + 24h volume) × freshness, where freshness is 1.0 if updated <24h, 0.7 if <7d, 0.4 otherwise). For multi-outcome (winner-take-all) topics the headline is the current leader's price — disjoint outcomes are never arithmetically averaged. Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours.

## SF Signal

- SF Index, regime, and 30d Brier calibration are computed separately and surfaced at https://simplefunctions.dev/admin/calibration.
- No SimpleFunctions index / regime / calibration signal is bound to this topic yet — the headline above is market-derived only.

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*Last verified: 2026-08-24T13:20:51.384Z*

By SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev/

Cite as: "96% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, August 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/earningsmentiondks
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=What%20will%20Dick%E2%80%99s%20Sporting%20Goods%2C%20Inc.%20say%20during%20their%20next%20earnings%20call
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev