51% — Egypt Premier League
Leader: Winner: Zamalek at 51% · Polymarket 51% · 7 contracts · $0 volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-05-09 05:53:18 UTC

Tracks the leading outcome in a winner-take-all prediction market set with 7 outcomes.

Why this matters:
This market tracks the likelihood of a specific outcome in the Egypt Premier League, currently priced at 49% on the leading contract. The probability reflects relatively balanced odds between the frontrunner and near-equivalent alternatives, with substantial disagreement among traders visible in the runner-up sitting at 48%. Market depth appears moderate, with cumulative volume and open interest distributed across multiple contracts. The tight pricing suggests traders are uncertain about resolution, though directional conviction exists given that top alternatives cluster in similar ranges. Upcoming match results, team performance data, and league standings will be primary drivers of repricing. The uncertainty persists because near-term outcomes remain genuinely contested rather than reflecting information gaps alone.

Key factors:
- Current leader and runner-up separated by only 1 percentage point, indicating competitive uncertainty rather than consensus
- Polymarket and Kalshi both show consistent pricing across multiple contract variants (Man City ~39%, Arsenal ~61%), suggesting cross-platform agreement on relative probabilities
- 24-hour volumes exceed $14k across most contracts, showing sustained trader participation but not extreme conviction levels
- Contract structure as multi-outcome winner-take-all means total probability mass must sum to 100% across all seven outcomes
- Upcoming Egypt Premier League matches and final standings will directly determine settlement, making near-term match results the primary repricing catalyst

Contracts:
- Egypt Premier League: Winner: Zamalek — 51¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 14%)
- Egypt Premier League: Winner: Al Masry — 46¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 14%)
- Egypt Premier League: Winner: Pyramids FC — 46¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 14%)
- Egypt Premier League: Winner: Smouha — 46¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 14%)
- Egypt Premier League: Winner: ENPPI — 45¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 14%)
- Egypt Premier League: Winner: Al Ahly — 39¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 14%)
- Egypt Premier League: Winner: Ceramica Cleopatra — 31¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 14%)

Cite as: "51% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/egypt-premier-league
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Egypt%20Premier%20League
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev