31% — El Mokawloon El Arab SC vs. Ghazl El Mahalla SC
Polymarket 31% · 20 contracts · $0 volume · low confidence
Updated 2026-05-03 17:08:06 UTC

Why this matters:
This 36% probability reflects market expectations that El Mokawloon El Arab SC will defeat Ghazl El Mahalla SC in an Egyptian football match. The price sits between the frontrunner (36%) and second-place outcome (34%), indicating genuine uncertainty rather than a clear consensus. Market movement would likely depend on team form, injuries to key players, and recent head-to-head records. The underlying contracts show low trading volume, suggesting limited liquidity and fewer active participants pricing this matchup, which typically increases forecast uncertainty. Resolution will occur when the match concludes and the final result is recorded.

Key factors:
- El Mokawloon El Arab SC's recent domestic performance and current league standing relative to Ghazl El Mahalla SC
- Availability and fitness status of key players for both teams ahead of the scheduled fixture
- Historical head-to-head results between these two clubs and goal-scoring patterns
- The low 24-hour trading volume ($0 reported across top contracts) indicates sparse price discovery and may amplify swings from new information
- Whether either team has competing fixtures or fixture congestion that could affect squad selection or player availability

Contracts:
- Tala'ea El Gaish SC vs. Ghazl El Mahalla SC: Ghazl El Mahalla SC — 33¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 5%)
- Tala'ea El Gaish SC vs. Ghazl El Mahalla SC: Draw (Tala'ea El Gaish SC vs. Ghazl El Mahalla SC) — 31¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 5%)
- Tala'ea El Gaish SC vs. Ghazl El Mahalla SC - More Markets: O/U 2.5 — 48¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 5%)
- Pharco FC vs. El Mokawloon El Arab SC: Pharco FC — 30¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 5%)
- Tala'ea El Gaish SC vs. Ghazl El Mahalla SC - More Markets: Ghazl El Mahalla SC (-1.5) — 33¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 5%)
- Pharco FC vs. El Mokawloon El Arab SC: El Mokawloon El Arab SC — 37¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 5%)
- Pharco FC vs. El Mokawloon El Arab SC: Draw (Pharco FC vs. El Mokawloon El Arab SC) — 34¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 5%)
- Tala'ea El Gaish SC vs. Ghazl El Mahalla SC - More Markets: Both Teams to Score — 52¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 5%)
- ... and 12 more

Cite as: "31% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/el-mokawloon-el-arab-sc-vs-ghazl-el-mahalla-sc
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=El%20Mokawloon%20El%20Arab%20SC%20vs.%20Ghazl%20El%20Mahalla%20SC
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev