14% — Will Carol Burnett win Comedy Supporting Actress at the Emmy Awards
Kalshi 14% · 6 contracts · $0 volume · low confidence
Updated 2026-05-03 23:36:39 UTC

Why this matters:
This 14% probability reflects the assessment that Carol Burnett will win the Emmy Award for Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Comedy Series. The prediction is based on limited trading activity on Kalshi with 20 contracts. The main factors driving this relatively low probability likely include competition from established and emerging actresses in comedy, the strength of competing performances in the category, and potential shifts in Emmy voter preferences. The 2026 Emmy Awards ceremony, scheduled for September, will definitively resolve this market when the winner is announced. Until then, the probability may shift based on critical reception of nominated shows, industry momentum, and voting patterns from Emmy voters.

Key factors:
- Carol Burnett's nominee status and whether her show/performance receives official Emmy recognition
- The competitive field of other supporting actress nominees and their relative critical acclaim heading into voting
- Historical voting patterns for the Comedy Supporting Actress category and whether this year favors established or newer talent
- Trading volume and contract prices on prediction markets, which currently show 20 contracts at 14% on Kalshi
- The Emmy voting period (typically June-July for the September ceremony) when industry voters cast ballots

Contracts:
- Will Carol Burnett win Comedy Supporting Actress at the Emmy Awards?: Carol Burnett — 3¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 17%)
- Will Hannah Einbinder win Comedy Supporting Actress at the Emmy Awards?: Hannah Einbinder — 47¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 17%)
- Will Janelle James win Comedy Supporting Actress at the Emmy Awards?: Janelle James — 4¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 17%)
- Will Jessica Williams win Comedy Supporting Actress at the Emmy Awards?: Jessica Williams — 6¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 17%)
- Will Michelle Pfeiffer win Comedy Supporting Actress at the Emmy Awards?: Michelle Pfeiffer — 20¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 17%)
- Will Tie win Comedy Supporting Actress at the Emmy Awards?: Tie — 4¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 17%)

Cite as: "14% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/emmycsactr
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Carol%20Burnett%20win%20Comedy%20Supporting%20Actress%20at%20the%20Emmy%20Awards
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev