71% — England vs. Ghana
Leader: England at 71% · Polymarket 71% · 3 contracts · $24 volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-05-09 05:08:56 UTC

Tracks the leading outcome in a winner-take-all prediction market set with 3 outcomes.

Why this matters:
This 71% probability indicates that market participants assess England as the most likely winner in an England vs. Ghana matchup. The high confidence reflects England's historical ranking advantage and recent form, though the substantial 21% probability for the runner-up suggests meaningful uncertainty remains. Movement in this probability would likely track England's upcoming fixtures and team news—injuries to key players or unexpected results in warm-up matches could shift sentiment. Ghana's defensive record and England's conversion efficiency in recent competitions represent the primary variables affecting the outcome. The resolution depends on the actual match result, which would occur on the scheduled fixture date between these teams.

Key factors:
- England's FIFA ranking and recent competitive record compared to Ghana's
- Availability and fitness status of key England players in the weeks leading to the match
- Ghana's defensive performance metrics and goal-scoring efficiency in recent official competitions
- Venue location and any home-field advantage factors (if applicable to the fixture)
- Head-to-head historical results and tactical matchups between the two teams

Contracts:
- England vs. Ghana: England — 71¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 0%)
- England vs. Ghana: Draw (England vs. Ghana) — 20¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 0%)
- England vs. Ghana: Ghana — 13¢ Polymarket $24 (weight 100%)

Cite as: "71% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/england-vs-ghana
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=England%20vs.%20Ghana
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev