65% — Everton at West Ham
Kalshi 61% · 11 contracts · $198K volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-05-03 18:43:30 UTC

Why this matters:
This 22% probability reflects the market's assessment that Everton will defeat West Ham in an upcoming match. The relatively low probability suggests traders view West Ham as favored or the match outcome as closely contested. Movement in this probability would depend on team form, injury status, and betting line shifts in traditional sportsbooks. The match result itself will resolve this contract when the fixture is played, likely within the next week or two based on typical Premier League scheduling. Key considerations include each team's recent performance, head-to-head record, home-field advantage, and any late-breaking roster changes.

Key factors:
- Everton's position in the league table and recent win-loss record relative to West Ham's current form
- Injury or suspension status of key players for either team ahead of kickoff
- Historical head-to-head performance between these sides, including home and away records
- Traditional sportsbook odds for the match and any significant line movement
- Whether the match is played at West Ham's or Everton's home ground, as home advantage affects outcome probability

Contracts:
- Tottenham at Aston Villa: Totals: Over 2.5 goals scored — 89¢ Kalshi $150K (weight 18%)
- Tottenham at Aston Villa: Totals: Over 3.5 goals scored — 65¢ Kalshi $29K (weight 16%)
- Tottenham at Aston Villa: Totals: Over 1.5 goals scored — 93¢ Kalshi $12K (weight 14%)
- Tottenham at Aston Villa: Totals: Over 4.5 goals scored — 36¢ Kalshi $6K (weight 13%)
- Everton at Crystal Palace: Totals: Over 2.5 goals scored — 45¢ Kalshi $1K (weight 11%)
- Manchester City at Everton: Totals: Over 2.5 goals scored — 58¢ Kalshi $554 (weight 10%)
- Manchester United at Sunderland: Totals: Over 2.5 goals scored — 52¢ Kalshi $105 (weight 7%)
- Nottingham at Chelsea: Totals: Over 2.5 goals scored — 55¢ Kalshi $35 (weight 5%)
- ... and 3 more

Cite as: "65% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/epltotal
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Everton%20at%20West%20Ham
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev