16% — Where is Ethereum price heading? Leader: 1,750 to 1,999.99 at 16% · Kalshi 16% · 11 contracts · $804 volume · medium confidence Updated 2026-08-07 00:44:18 UTC Tracks the leading outcome in a winner-take-all prediction market set with 11 outcomes. Contracts: - ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?: 1,750 to 1,999.99 — 16¢ Kalshi $611 (weight 76%) - ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?: 2,000 to 2,249.99 — 11¢ Kalshi $40 (weight 5%) - ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?: 999.99 or below — 11¢ Kalshi $30 (weight 4%) - ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?: 1,500 to 1,749.99 — 9¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%) - ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?: 2,250 to 2,499.99 — 8¢ Kalshi $1 (weight 0%) - ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?: 1,250 to 1,499.99 — 7¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%) - ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?: 2,750 to 2,999.99 — 6¢ Kalshi $67 (weight 8%) - ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?: 2,500 to 2,749.99 — 6¢ Kalshi $55 (weight 7%) - ... and 3 more --- ## Methodology SimpleFunctions aggregates live YES-side prices from Kalshi and Polymarket contracts bound to this question. For binary topics the headline is the liquidity-weighted mid-price (weight = log(1 + 24h volume) × freshness, where freshness is 1.0 if updated <24h, 0.7 if <7d, 0.4 otherwise). For multi-outcome (winner-take-all) topics the headline is the current leader's price — disjoint outcomes are never arithmetically averaged. Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours. ## SF Signal - SF Index, regime, and 30d Brier calibration are computed separately and surfaced at https://simplefunctions.dev/admin/calibration. - No SimpleFunctions index / regime / calibration signal is bound to this topic yet — the headline above is market-derived only. --- *Last verified: 2026-08-07T00:20:51.825Z* By SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev/ Cite as: "16% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, August 2026)" Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/ethereum-price Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Where%20is%20Ethereum%20price%20heading%3F Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev