11% — Where is Ethereum price heading?
Leader: 1,250 to 1,499.99 at 11% · Kalshi 11% · 8 contracts · $180 volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-06-19 11:08:29 UTC

Tracks the leading outcome in a winner-take-all prediction market set with 8 outcomes.

Contracts:
- ETH price  on Jan 1, 2027?: 1,250 to 1,499.99 — 11¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- ETH price  on Jan 1, 2027?: 1,750 to 1,999.99 — 9¢ Kalshi $1 (weight 1%)
- ETH price  on Jan 1, 2027?: 1,500 to 1,749.99 — 8¢ Kalshi $135 (weight 75%)
- ETH price  on Jan 1, 2027?: 1,000 to 1,249.99 — 6¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- ETH price  on Jan 1, 2027?: 2,000 to 2,249.99 — 5¢ Kalshi $43 (weight 24%)
- ETH price  on Jan 1, 2027?: 2,250 to 2,499.99 — 5¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- ETH price  on Jan 1, 2027?: 999.99 or below — 4¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- ETH price  on Jan 1, 2027?: 2,750 to 2,999.99 — 3¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)

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## Methodology

SimpleFunctions aggregates live YES-side prices from Kalshi and Polymarket contracts bound to this question. For binary topics the headline is the liquidity-weighted mid-price (weight = log(1 + 24h volume) × freshness, where freshness is 1.0 if updated <24h, 0.7 if <7d, 0.4 otherwise). For multi-outcome (winner-take-all) topics the headline is the current leader's price — disjoint outcomes are never arithmetically averaged. Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours.

## SF Signal

- SF Index, regime, and 30d Brier calibration are computed separately and surfaced at https://simplefunctions.dev/admin/calibration.
- No SimpleFunctions index / regime / calibration signal is bound to this topic yet — the headline above is market-derived only.

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*Last verified: 2026-06-19T10:20:20.158Z*

By SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev/

Cite as: "11% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, June 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/ethereum-price
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Where%20is%20Ethereum%20price%20heading%3F
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev