61% — Will Euro area GDP growth rate YoY flash for Q1 2026 be above 1.6%
Kalshi 61% · 1 contracts · $6 volume · low confidence
Updated 2026-06-08 04:00:17 UTC

Contracts:
- Will Euro area GDP growth rate YoY flash for Q1 2026 be above 0.6%?: Above 0.6% — 61¢ Kalshi $6 (weight 100%)

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## Methodology

SimpleFunctions aggregates live YES-side prices from Kalshi and Polymarket contracts bound to this question. For binary topics the headline is the liquidity-weighted mid-price (weight = log(1 + 24h volume) × freshness, where freshness is 1.0 if updated <24h, 0.7 if <7d, 0.4 otherwise). For multi-outcome (winner-take-all) topics the headline is the current leader's price — disjoint outcomes are never arithmetically averaged. Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours.

## SF Signal

- SF Index, regime, and 30d Brier calibration are computed separately and surfaced at https://simplefunctions.dev/admin/calibration.
- No SimpleFunctions index / regime / calibration signal is bound to this topic yet — the headline above is market-derived only.

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*Last verified: 2026-05-30T19:20:12.869Z*

By SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev/

Cite as: "61% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, June 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/ezgdpyoyf
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Euro%20area%20GDP%20growth%20rate%20YoY%20flash%20for%20Q1%202026%20be%20above%201.6%25
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev