48% — FC Cincinnati vs. New York Red Bulls
Polymarket 35% · Kalshi 48% · 20 contracts · $34K volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-05-03 15:04:38 UTC

Cross-venue gap: 13pp (Kalshi higher)

Contracts:
- Baltimore vs New York Y Total Runs?: Over 8.5 runs scored — 54¢ Kalshi $13K (weight 8%)
- Baltimore vs New York Y Total Runs?: Over 7.5 runs scored — 62¢ Kalshi $3K (weight 6%)
- New York M vs Los Angeles A Total Runs?: Over 8.5 runs scored — 54¢ Kalshi $3K (weight 6%)
- New York M vs Los Angeles A Total Runs?: Over 10.5 runs scored — 36¢ Kalshi $3K (weight 6%)
- Will New York Y score over 7.5 runs?: New York Y over 7.5 runs scored — 23¢ Kalshi $2K (weight 6%)
- Will New York Y score over 4.5 runs?: New York Y over 4.5 runs scored — 55¢ Kalshi $2K (weight 6%)
- Will New York Y score over 5.5 runs?: New York Y over 5.5 runs scored — 44¢ Kalshi $2K (weight 6%)
- Baltimore vs New York Y Total Runs?: Over 4.5 runs scored — 86¢ Kalshi $1K (weight 6%)
- ... and 12 more

Cite as: "48% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/fc-cincinnati-vs-new-york-red-bulls
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Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev