44% — FC Dallas vs. Real Salt Lake
Leader: FC Dallas at 44% · Polymarket 44% · 3 contracts · $116 volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-05-09 04:22:43 UTC

Tracks the leading outcome in a winner-take-all prediction market set with 3 outcomes.

Why this matters:
The 31% probability reflects market expectations that Real Salt Lake will win this matchup. This implies roughly a 2-to-1 odds in favor of FC Dallas or a draw combined against a Real Salt Lake victory. The current pricing likely reflects recent form, head-to-head records, and home-field advantage if applicable. The market would shift upward for Real Salt Lake if FC Dallas suffers key injuries or enters a losing streak, and downward if Real Salt Lake faces roster disruptions or poor recent results. The match outcome will be determined on the scheduled game date, which resolves all uncertainty around this particular fixture.

Key factors:
- Recent win-loss records for both clubs in the current MLS season, as losing streaks or momentum typically correlate with market repricing
- Availability of star players or confirmed injury reports for either team in the days before the match
- Historical head-to-head performance between FC Dallas and Real Salt Lake over the past 1-2 seasons
- Home-field advantage status and typical performance differential for the hosting team
- Market trading volume and contract settlement history, as low volume ($0 24h) may indicate uncertainty or limited liquidity in pricing

Contracts:
- FC Dallas vs. Real Salt Lake: FC Dallas — 44¢ Polymarket $36 (weight 31%)
- FC Dallas vs. Real Salt Lake: Real Salt Lake — 32¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 0%)
- FC Dallas vs. Real Salt Lake: Draw (FC Dallas vs. Real Salt Lake) — 26¢ Polymarket $80 (weight 69%)

Cite as: "44% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/fc-dallas-vs-real-salt-lake
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=FC%20Dallas%20vs.%20Real%20Salt%20Lake
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev