40% — Will Don Toliver be featured on Travis Scott's next album Kalshi 40% · 10 contracts · $200 volume · medium confidence Updated 2026-08-27 02:11:05 UTC Why this matters: This represents the market's assessment that Don Toliver has a 42% chance of appearing on Travis Scott's next studio album. Don Toliver and Travis Scott have an established collaborative history, including features on prior projects, which forms the baseline for this probability. The main drivers are the album's release timeline, Scott's typical feature selection patterns, and whether Toliver remains part of Scott's inner circle at the time of recording. The key catalyst will be the album's official announcement and eventual release, which will definitively resolve whether Toliver appears. Until then, any public statements about the project's direction, roster changes within Scott's collaborators, or new joint releases could shift expectations. Compared to other potential features like Drake (32%) and Future (57%), Toliver's 42% sits in the middle tier of likelihood. Key factors: - Don Toliver has been featured on multiple Travis Scott projects previously, establishing a track record of collaboration - The timeline and expected release date of Travis Scott's next album remains unannounced, creating high uncertainty about recording participants - Drake and Future show higher market probabilities (57% and 32% respectively), suggesting the market views them as more or less likely than Toliver based on current collaboration dynamics - No official announcements have been made about the album's guest list or recording sessions that would confirm or deny Toliver's involvement - Changes in either artist's public statements, new independent releases, or reported studio activity could shift market expectations significantly Contracts: - Will Future be featured on Travis Scott's next album?: Future — 52¢ Kalshi $100 (weight 50%) - Will Kanye West (Ye) be featured on Travis Scott's next album?: Kanye West (Ye) — 49¢ Kalshi $100 (weight 50%) - Will 21 Savage be featured on Travis Scott's next album?: 21 Savage — 36¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%) - Will Lil Baby be featured on Travis Scott's next album?: Lil Baby — 39¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%) - Will Don Toliver be featured on Travis Scott's next album?: Don Toliver — 63¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%) - Will Drake be featured on Travis Scott's next album?: Drake — 31¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%) - Will Playboi Carti be featured on Travis Scott's next album?: Playboi Carti — 59¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%) - Will Sheck Wes be featured on Travis Scott's next album?: Sheck Wes — 27¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%) - ... and 2 more --- ## Methodology SimpleFunctions aggregates live YES-side prices from Kalshi and Polymarket contracts bound to this question. For binary topics the headline is the liquidity-weighted mid-price (weight = log(1 + 24h volume) × freshness, where freshness is 1.0 if updated <24h, 0.7 if <7d, 0.4 otherwise). For multi-outcome (winner-take-all) topics the headline is the current leader's price — disjoint outcomes are never arithmetically averaged. Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours. ## SF Signal - SF Index, regime, and 30d Brier calibration are computed separately and surfaced at https://simplefunctions.dev/admin/calibration. - No SimpleFunctions index / regime / calibration signal is bound to this topic yet — the headline above is market-derived only. --- *Last verified: 2026-08-27T00:20:49.933Z* By SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev/ Cite as: "40% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, August 2026)" Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/featuretravisscott Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Don%20Toliver%20be%20featured%20on%20Travis%20Scott's%20next%20album Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev