31% — Will Lil Uzi Vert be featured on Trippie Red's next album
Kalshi 31% · 19 contracts · $0 volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-06-08 06:12:05 UTC

Why this matters:
This market estimates the odds that Lil Uzi Vert will appear as a featured artist on Trippie Red's forthcoming album. The current 43% probability reflects moderate uncertainty, with a significant disagreement between markets: Kalshi traders price the feature at 40%, while Polymarket's single contract suggests 94%. The gap likely stems from limited Polymarket liquidity and different trader bases. Historical context matters here—both rappers have collaborated before and operate in overlapping circles, but album features depend on recorded deals already struck, artist scheduling, and label release plans. The primary catalyst is the album's actual release, which would definitively resolve the question. Until then, the market primarily reflects traders' assessments of their past collaboration patterns and current industry positioning rather than new public information.

Key factors:
- Kalshi shows 19 contracts with 40% average versus Polymarket's single contract at 94%, indicating limited consensus and potential mispricing on lower-liquidity venue
- Trippie Red's previous albums have included 8-15 featured artists, establishing a baseline for feature frequency but not predicting specific collaborators
- Lil Uzi Vert and Trippie Red have collaborated before (e.g., 2018), suggesting mutual professional relationships but not guaranteeing future work
- Neither artist has publicly announced album release dates, featured artists, or tracklists as of May 2026, leaving traders relying on historical patterns
- The market's resolution depends entirely on Trippie Red's next album release, making it binary rather than probabilistic once the album is published

Contracts:
- Will Playboi Carti be featured on Trippie Red's next album?: Playboi Carti — 17¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 5%)
- Will Lil Uzi Vert be featured on Trippie Red's next album?: Lil Uzi Vert — 13¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 5%)
- Will Travis Scott be featured on Trippie Red's next album?: Travis Scott — 13¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 5%)
- Will Young Thug be featured on Trippie Red's next album?: Young Thug — 78¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 5%)
- Will Future be featured on Trippie Red's next album?: Future — 4¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 5%)
- Will Yeat be featured on Trippie Red's next album?: Yeat — 23¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 5%)
- Will The Weeknd be featured on Trippie Red's next album?: The Weeknd — 4¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 5%)
- Will 21 Savage be featured on Trippie Red's next album?: 21 Savage — 5¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 5%)
- ... and 11 more

---

## Methodology

SimpleFunctions aggregates live YES-side prices from Kalshi and Polymarket contracts bound to this question. For binary topics the headline is the liquidity-weighted mid-price (weight = log(1 + 24h volume) × freshness, where freshness is 1.0 if updated <24h, 0.7 if <7d, 0.4 otherwise). For multi-outcome (winner-take-all) topics the headline is the current leader's price — disjoint outcomes are never arithmetically averaged. Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours.

## SF Signal

- SF Index, regime, and 30d Brier calibration are computed separately and surfaced at https://simplefunctions.dev/admin/calibration.
- No SimpleFunctions index / regime / calibration signal is bound to this topic yet — the headline above is market-derived only.

---

*Last verified: 2026-06-08T05:20:10.123Z*

By SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev/

Cite as: "31% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, June 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/featuretrippiered
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Lil%20Uzi%20Vert%20be%20featured%20on%20Trippie%20Red's%20next%20album
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev