29% — Will Adéla be featured on Midnight Sun (Deluxe) — Zara Larsson
Kalshi 28% · 16 contracts · $56K volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-05-03 15:04:26 UTC

Why this matters:
This market is assessing whether Adéla will appear as a featured artist on the deluxe edition of Zara Larsson's album Midnight Sun. The 29% probability reflects moderate skepticism about the collaboration's likelihood. Kalshi traders price it at 30%, suggesting slightly higher odds than Polymarket's 13% assessment, though both lean toward non-inclusion. The primary factors affecting this probability are the album's official tracklist release and any announced collaborations from either artist's camp. The resolution hinges on whether the deluxe edition's final tracklist—when officially published—includes Adéla as a credited featured artist. Supply-side factors like studio records, label statements, or pre-release promotional announcements would provide concrete evidence before official publication.

Key factors:
- Official tracklist publication for Midnight Sun (Deluxe) edition will definitively resolve whether Adéla appears as a featured artist
- Prior collaboration history between Zara Larsson and Adéla, or lack thereof, may indicate likelihood of a new feature
- The timing of album announcement, any teased features, or official promotional materials mentioning Adéla would shift market pricing
- Record label or artist social media statements confirming or denying the collaboration would provide clear resolution signals
- The broader context of similar deluxe edition additions—whether bonus features are typically collaborations or solo recordings

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- ... and 8 more

Cite as: "29% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/featurezlarsson
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Ad%C3%A9la%20be%20featured%20on%20Midnight%20Sun%20(Deluxe)%20%E2%80%94%20Zara%20Larsson
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev