16% — Will John Fetterman leave the Democratic party before Jun 1, 2026
Leader: Before Aug 1, 2026 at 16% · Kalshi 16% · 3 contracts · $8K volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-05-09 07:21:44 UTC

Tracks the leading outcome in a winner-take-all prediction market set with 3 outcomes.

Contracts:
- Will John Fetterman leave the Democratic party before Aug 1, 2026?: Before Aug 1, 2026 — 16¢ Kalshi $4K (weight 46%)
- Will John Fetterman leave the Democratic party before Jul 1, 2026?: Before Jul 1, 2026 — 7¢ Kalshi $2K (weight 29%)
- Will John Fetterman leave the Democratic party before Jun 1, 2026?: Before Jun 1, 2026 — 5¢ Kalshi $2K (weight 25%)

Cite as: "16% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/fettermanswitch
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20John%20Fetterman%20leave%20the%20Democratic%20party%20before%20Jun%201%2C%202026
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev