91% — FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Molde FK - More Markets
Leader: O/U 1.5 at 91% · Polymarket 91% · 9 contracts · $646 volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-05-09 04:22:11 UTC

Tracks the leading outcome in a winner-take-all prediction market set with 9 outcomes.

Why this matters:
The 90% probability indicates markets are pricing FK Bodø/Glimt as a strong favorite in this matchup, reflecting the team's recent form and home advantage in Norwegian football. This assessment is driven by Bodø/Glimt's consistent performance in the Eliteserien and the relative strength differential between the two clubs. The primary catalyst is the actual match result, which will definitively resolve whether Bodø/Glimt wins or the market mispriced the contest. Contract fragmentation across multiple spread levels (-1.5, -2.5) and modest trading volume ($110-$327 across top contracts) suggests limited liquidity, meaning the 90% figure reflects concentrated positioning rather than deep consensus pricing.

Key factors:
- FK Bodø/Glimt's recent league position, points total, and win rate relative to Molde FK in the current Eliteserien season
- Home-field advantage at Aspmyra Stadium and recent head-to-head record between these clubs
- Injury reports or roster availability for key players on either side affecting match quality
- Molde FK's form trajectory and whether the team is experiencing an upswing that could narrow the odds
- Contract pricing fragmentation across spread levels (-1.5 vs -2.5) indicating disagreement among traders on the margin of victory

Contracts:
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Molde FK - More Markets: O/U 1.5 — 91¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 0%)
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Molde FK - More Markets: O/U 2.5 — 75¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 0%)
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Molde FK - More Markets: Both Teams to Score — 62¢ Polymarket $7 (weight 1%)
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Molde FK - More Markets: O/U 3.5 — 54¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 0%)
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Molde FK - More Markets: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5) — 52¢ Polymarket $94 (weight 15%)
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Molde FK - More Markets: FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5) — 33¢ Polymarket $500 (weight 77%)
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Molde FK - More Markets: O/U 4.5 — 33¢ Polymarket $46 (weight 7%)
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Molde FK - More Markets: Molde FK (-2.5) — 9¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 0%)
- ... and 1 more

Cite as: "91% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/fk-bodglimt-vs-molde-fk-more-markets
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=FK%20Bod%C3%B8%2FGlimt%20vs.%20Molde%20FK%20-%20More%20Markets
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev