56% — Above 350000 gonorrhea cases in the United States during 2026
Kalshi 56% · 9 contracts · $22 volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-05-28 21:13:03 UTC

Contracts:
- Above 325000 gonorrhea cases in the United States during 2026: Above 325k — 71¢ Kalshi $22 (weight 100%)
- Above 285000 gonorrhea cases in the United States during 2026: Above 285k — 81¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Above 300000 gonorrhea cases in the United States during 2026: Above 300k — 77¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Above 350000 gonorrhea cases in the United States during 2026: Above 350k — 68¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Above 375000 gonorrhea cases in the United States during 2026: Above 375k — 62¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Above 400000 gonorrhea cases in the United States during 2026: Above 400k — 54¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Above 425000 gonorrhea cases in the United States during 2026: Above 425k — 39¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Above 450000 gonorrhea cases in the United States during 2026: Above 450k — 29¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- ... and 1 more

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## Methodology

SimpleFunctions aggregates live YES-side prices from Kalshi and Polymarket contracts bound to this question. For binary topics the headline is the liquidity-weighted mid-price (weight = log(1 + 24h volume) × freshness, where freshness is 1.0 if updated <24h, 0.7 if <7d, 0.4 otherwise). For multi-outcome (winner-take-all) topics the headline is the current leader's price — disjoint outcomes are never arithmetically averaged. Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours.

## SF Signal

- SF Index, regime, and 30d Brier calibration are computed separately and surfaced at https://simplefunctions.dev/admin/calibration.
- No SimpleFunctions index / regime / calibration signal is bound to this topic yet — the headline above is market-derived only.

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*Last verified: 2026-05-28T20:20:07.525Z*

By SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev/

Cite as: "56% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/gonorrheacount
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Above%20350000%20gonorrhea%20cases%20in%20the%20United%20States%20during%202026
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev