95% — Will Grab Holdings Limited report above 53.5 million monthly transacting users in Q2 2026
Leader: above 52 million at 95% · Kalshi 95% · 6 contracts · $14 volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-05-28 20:44:04 UTC

Tracks the leading outcome in a winner-take-all prediction market set with 6 outcomes.

Contracts:
- Will Grab Holdings Limited report above 52 million monthly transacting users in Q2 2026?: above 52 million — 95¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Will Grab Holdings Limited report above 52.5 million monthly transacting users in Q2 2026?: above 52.5 million — 92¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Will Grab Holdings Limited report above 53 million monthly transacting users in Q2 2026?: above 53 million — 76¢ Kalshi $6 (weight 43%)
- Will Grab Holdings Limited report above 53.5 million monthly transacting users in Q2 2026?: above 53.5 million — 54¢ Kalshi $8 (weight 57%)
- Will Grab Holdings Limited report above 54 million monthly transacting users in Q2 2026?: above 54 million — 22¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Will Grab Holdings Limited report above 54.5 million monthly transacting users in Q2 2026?: above 54.5 million — 10¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)

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## Methodology

SimpleFunctions aggregates live YES-side prices from Kalshi and Polymarket contracts bound to this question. For binary topics the headline is the liquidity-weighted mid-price (weight = log(1 + 24h volume) × freshness, where freshness is 1.0 if updated <24h, 0.7 if <7d, 0.4 otherwise). For multi-outcome (winner-take-all) topics the headline is the current leader's price — disjoint outcomes are never arithmetically averaged. Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours.

## SF Signal

- SF Index, regime, and 30d Brier calibration are computed separately and surfaced at https://simplefunctions.dev/admin/calibration.
- No SimpleFunctions index / regime / calibration signal is bound to this topic yet — the headline above is market-derived only.

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*Last verified: 2026-05-28T20:20:08.812Z*

By SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev/

Cite as: "95% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/grab
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Grab%20Holdings%20Limited%20report%20above%2053.5%20million%20monthly%20transacting%20users%20in%20Q2%202026
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev